Investors who remain patient during the current pullback could be among the biggest winners when market sentiment eventually turns — at least according to one analyst who has closely followed XRP during this period of weakness.
A floor that lasts
XRP The stock is not expected to collapse below $1 based on the analyst’s interpretation of current market conditions. The token was trading near the bottom of its recent range, pressured by a broader crypto sell-off that has pushed Bitcoin below key support levels and shaken confidence in the market.
The analyst, speaking in a video reportpointed to the $1.20 area as a likely bottom before any meaningful recovery begins. That level, he said, represents the kind of definitive breakout that has historically preceded major rallies — a pattern he says is now playing out again.
Geopolitics behind the pressure
According to the analyst, a large part of the short-term risk does not come from crypto fundamentals, but from the Middle East. Escalating tensions in the region have raised fears of a major disruption to crude oil supplies, with reports pointing to dwindling oil supplies, the loss of Japan’s strategic petroleum reserves and renewed conflict between Iran and Israel.
Idle ships in the Gulf are reportedly experiencing operational issues that could further delay energy transport. Even if a peace deal is reached, it could take months for supply chains to fully recover, the analyst warned.
That surplus, he argues, leaves the door open for a new round of selling of risky assets – including crypto.
Stocks flash yellow
Traditional markets don’t offer investors much comfort either. The US bond market remained stuck in a prolonged downturn, and while the S&P500 has pushed to new highs, these gains are concentrated in a small number of companies.
The market breadth is small and valuations are at historical extremes. The analyst’s advice: Skip the overheated stock trading and pay attention to assets that have already undergone serious corrections.
A bull run postponed, not denied
XRP’s long-term strategy remains intact, the analyst said, with a major rally expected later in 2026. He plans to continue buying on weakness and sees the current environment – heavy selling, widespread fear – as exactly the kind of setup that precedes outsized gains.
Even large institutional buyers have failed to stop the price slide, reports say. But the analyst sees that as a hallmark, not a flaw, in a market that tends to reward those who hang on through the rough patches.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView