XRP holders are currently suffering big losses as the price continues to fall from the 2025 bull run highs. These holders risk bigger losses on their investments as crypto analyst CasiTrades has warned that XRP could still see new lows.
XRP holders are currently seeing large negative returns on their investments
On-chain analytics platform Santiment revealed that the average portfolios that have been active on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) over the past year, their investments have fallen by an average of 41%. Santiment noted that this is the lowest average value to realized value (MVRV) for XRP holders since the FTX crash in November 2022.
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Santiment noted that because crypto assets are zero-sum trading games, significantly negative average returns, not just a price drop, but actual trader returns, imply that there is much lower risk than average in buying or adding to one’s profits. XRP positions. The platform explained that this is because competing traders are already in serious ‘blood on the streets’ territory.
On-chain analytics platform Glassnode also highlighted how many XRP holders are currently underwater. In one X messageThe platform noted that with a price trading at $1.33, the percentage of XRP supply in profits fell to 43.4%, the lowest level since July 2024.
Glassnode had previously noted that a large portion of the XRP offering was at a loss even when the price was trading around $2.15. This indicated that the XRP market was a ‘top-heavy and structurally fragile market’ dominated by late buyers.
XRP is preparing for another move lower
Crypto analyst CasiTrades has indicated that XRP is preparing for another move down, which could see XRP holders suffer further losses. She noted that the jump from the A ceasefire between the US and Iran agreement is now over and that she is looking for a wave-3 down. The analyst also revealed that the ceasefire over the past 24 hours sent XRP perfectly into the .618 retracement, giving the market a clean wave-2 relief rally.
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CasiTrades acknowledged that the wave-2 move for XRP has knocked out one of the smaller subwave counts, but the larger structure has not changed. She added that the real move hasn’t happened yet and that she still expects a wave 3 move down toward $1.09, which the analyst warned could accelerate quickly.
The analyst had warned earlier that
At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading around $1.33, down over 3% in the past 24 hours. facts from CoinMarketCap.
Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com