Technical analyst Charting Guy has shared a new perspective on the relationship between XRP and Ethereum, identifying a setup that he thinks could lead to Short-term XRP outperformance.
His analysis, posted on social media platform X, focuses on the weekly XRP/ETH chart, where he highlighted the formation of a bullish divergence not seen since mid-2024. The development, he says, signals a constructive shift in momentum that will prove beneficial XRP’s price action versus Ethereum for the next three months.
A rare weekly bullish divergence favors XRP over Ethereum
In his update, Charting Guy explained that the XRP/ETH weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) was previously rejected but has now turned into a bullish divergence. The RSI has risen from a low region while the price closed at a lower low last week, which is a telltale sign of easing selling pressure and XRP is building strength against Ethereum.
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This green-highlighted divergence on the analyst’s XRP/ETH chart, shown below, mimics a setup that preceded another big swing in favor of XRP. The yellow moving RSI average is also starting to level off, and this is another signal that momentum could stabilize before a breakout.
The last time the same setup occurred was in June 2024, just before XRP began a multi-month surge against Ethereum. At the time, the
The pattern outlined by the analyst shows that XRP/ETH is currently consolidating around the 0.00063 ratio level. This time the setup looks equally attractive. The upward curve of the RSI points to market participation on the XRP side, while Ethereum’s relative momentum continues to slow. If the pattern repeats, it could mark the start of a new short-term cycle of token strength against ETH.
Short-term projection favors XRP
As can be seen from the projection drawn in blue on the chart above, Charting Guy visualized a scenario where XRP rises sharply against Ethereum. The projection uses the pair’s performance between July 2024 and March 2025 to predict the next move. From here, the projection puts the XRP/ETH pair above 0.00015 in March 2026.
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He completed his analysis by saying, “I am VERY bullish on $XRP > $ETH over the next three months.” His quarterly forecast implies that XRP could regain a leading position among major altcoins in the next quarter. If the token outperforms Ethereum as predicted, it will close the gap in their market capitalization.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.64 with a market cap of $158 billion. Ethereum, on the other hand, is trading at $4,025 with a market cap of $486 billion.
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com