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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin maintains a strong correlation with the US stock market
Bitcoin

Bitcoin maintains a strong correlation with the US stock market

2025-01-26No Comments3 Mins Read
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  • Bitcoin is up 0.54% in the past day.
  • The King Coin has maintained its strong correlation with the US stock market

The past year, Bitcoin [BTC] has experienced significant growth, from $38,000 to $109,000.

Such a significant development has attracted institutional investors, with traditional financial markets embracing Bitcoin as a valuable asset.

This institutional interest has resulted in a greater correlation between BTC and the US stock market.

Bitcoin correlates strongly with the US stock market

According to CryptoQuantBitcoin has remained closely tied to the performance of the US stock market.

For example, in 2024, BTC and Nasdaq showed a historically strong correlation that has currently reached historic levels.

Source: CryptoQuant

A similar trend can be observed with the S&P 500, although there are cases where they are decoupled.

For example, on August 4, 2024, when the US stock market crashed, BTC also fell to $49,000. In November, after the elections, BTC and the stock market saw a strong rally.

Source: CryptoQuant

The increase in correlation indicates that institutional investors now view Bitcoin as a traditional asset. This market perception has put its performance on par with the overall stock market.

Significantly, with Trump in power and the crypto market expecting relaxed regulations such as the repealed SAB 121, BTC could now become widely accepted as an asset class among institutional players.

This recognition will in turn accelerate BTC adoption and growth.

What does it mean for BTC?

With Bitcoin demonstrating continued growth and greater adoption among institutional investors, the king coin is well positioned for further growth.

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Therefore, with the US stock market still experiencing stability and continued growth, BTC will continue to make gains.

Source: CryptoQuant

We can see these future prospects because Bitcoin’s stock-to-flow reversal remained above 1 at the time of writing. Although the price had fallen, it remained at 2.11, indicating that investors were still bullish and trading at higher levels.

Although the decline signals a cooling off, BTC at this level is far from a bear market signal.

Source: Charts.Bitbo

Furthermore, Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio has remained above 1 for the past five months, indicating that Bitcoin offers returns that significantly outweigh the risk.

This makes it a very attractive investment on a risk-adjusted basis.

At this level, the Sharpe ratio reflects strong confidence among investors, which encourages other players to enter the market.

Source: Charts.Bitbo

Finally, Bitcoin’s VDD multiple has signaled market maturity, with the metric currently remaining above 1. As such, the crypto network is mature and not all coins require frequent movement to maintain high valuations.

This indicates market confidence in BTC’s long-term potential. These market conditions are consistent with traditional market setups, making BTC attractive to more institutional players.

In conclusion, as Bitcoin positions itself as an attractive asset for institutional investors, we can see BTC continuing to post more gains.


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price forecast 2025–2026


Therefore, if prevailing market conditions persist, BTC will reach $107,000 and make a new high as there is no significant resistance above.

However, as small corrections become part of this uptrend, a pullback will see a drop to $102,000.

Next: Bitcoin ETFs See Massive Inflows in Trump’s First Week – Will Altcoins Catch Up?

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