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Home»Analysis»Bitcoin Eyes ‘Uptober’ Rally Despite extreme anxiety levels
Analysis

Bitcoin Eyes ‘Uptober’ Rally Despite extreme anxiety levels

2025-09-29No Comments3 Mins Read
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The Crypto fear and greed index has slipped to the lowest level since March, so that new concern about investor confidence is made, even if Bitcoin and Ethereum are trying a recovery.

Facts Part by cryptoquant analyst JA Marchurn on September 29, the sentiment showed that in August a neutral 40 to an extreme level of anxiety of 28 fell. The index hit this reach for the last time in March, when Bitcoin traded around $ 80,000.

Bitcoin Fear Index
Crypto Market Greed and Fear Index (Source: Cryptoquant)

In the meantime, the sharp deterioration of the sentiment coincided with heavy sale in large assets. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum fell under the most important psychological levels of $ 110,000 and $ 4,000 last week, so that the feeling of uncertainty was deepened.

Yet the retreat turned out to be short -lived. From the moment of the press, Bitcoin Price has reclaimed $ 114,000 and Ethereum has traded more than $ 4,100, suggesting that panic sales take place for a more balanced market.

Market bottom?

Asset Manager Bitwise assertions That the anxiety -driven background could represent a soil phase.

It explained:

“Last week the sentiment was reached twice; the levels of extreme anxiety on the basis of Intraday, but Bitcoin has demonstrated relative resilience, with ~ $ 108k-a level that is also in accordance with the cost basis in the short term this seems to offer a strong support for Bitcoin if sellers are now more and more exhausted.”

The company also pointed out that Bitcoin had still risen almost 3.7% in September despite last week’s turbulence. This is remarkable, since September is historically the weakest month of the year for the best crypto.

See also  Bitcoin Dominance tipped to hit 57% - incoming always season?

The last quarter, on the other hand, often achieves strong profits, where November is repeatedly the most profitable month of Bitcoin.

According to Bitwise, this historical pattern leaves the current weakness more on a chance than a warning sign.

Facts Van Glassnode supports the case, which shows that holders are now realizing net losses in the short term, a condition that has marked historical reset points before renewed accumulation. Capitulation periods, where recent buyers sell with losses, have often provided the basics for rallies in the longer term.

Bitcoin holdersBitcoin holders
Bitcoin Short -term holders Net profit and loss (Source: Glassnode)

Bitcoin is preparing for Uptober

Given the flagship digital resilience of digital assets, Crypto -Handelsbureau QCP stated that BTC traders are optimistic for an “upober” rally.

According to the company, the gradual optimism has returned to the Perpetual Futures Market, where Longs in Leveraged came in again after the liquidations of last week.

QCP stated that Bitcoin open interest rose from $ 42.8 billion to $ 43.6 billion. At the same time, the financing percentages remain positive and positioning on platforms such as hyperliquid decisively back to the long side.

However, the company warned that a persistent uprising will only be confirmed if BTC knew the $ 115,000 threshold. It added:

“Option markets reflect this hesitation, with Put Skew and OI in BTC and ETH normalize slowly rebuilding convictions.”

Bitcoin -Market data

At the time of press 3:34 pm UTC on September 29, 2025Bitcoin is on the market capitalization market and the price is upwards 3.69% In the last 24 hours. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $ 2.27 trillion With a trade volume of 24 hours $ 54.3 billion. More information about Bitcoin ›

See also  US to buy $619 billion worth of Bitcoin as Kennedy Jr. is elected
Summary of the Cryptomarkt

At the time of press 3:34 pm UTC on September 29, 2025The total crypto market is appreciated at $ 3.91 trillion With a volume of 24 hours $ 158.36 billion. Bitcoin Dominance is currently up 57.97%. More information about the Cryptomarkt ›

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