After a rather turbulent trade week, Bitcoin prices are now below $ 110,000, which represents a decrease of 12% compared to the all time of $ 124,457. In the midst of this situation, the popular analysts TED cushions shared a daring market forecast that would be the fear of an approaching cycle top.
Institutional question to extend the Bitcoin market cycle until 2026
A typical cryptomarkt cycle has always reached a peak in the quarter of the fourth year. This timing usually corresponds to the posthaing hype and a strong wave of demand for retail and institutional market. Such behavior is observed in the last two cycles when Bitcoin reached a market top of $ 19,700 in December 2017 and $ 69,000 in November 2021. postulate The current market will probably show a different pattern that matches the American business cycle.
In general, American company policy focused on liquidity, interest rates and inflation were all a serious role in the Bitcoin question. The American Federal Reserve in particular implemented its first reduction of 2025 in September, and market analysts expect the monetary authority to maintain this DOVISH approach for the next six months. In particular JP Morgan to predict The FED will implement two more tariff reductions in 2025 and one in 2026. This decrease in interest rates is expected to increase the access of investors to liquidity through borrowing and investments in risk assets such as Bitcoin support.
Moreover, the introduction of Bitcoin Spot ETFs has also changed the structure of the inflow. In particular, these investments have improved the convenience of institutional investments in Bitcoin, with the current cumulative ETF intake appreciated on $ 57.23 billion. It is important that this heavy intake, in combination with the rise of Bitcoin Treasury companies, all contributed to the ripening of the Bitcoin market that is now probably powered by macro-economic cycles instead of the traditional crypto-following cycles.
If the American market forces turn out to be dominant, TED cushions expects Bitcoin to reach a market peak in Q1 or Q2 2026, which indicates the potential for higher price goals despite recent price falls.
Bitcoin on its way to $ 112,000?
In the past hours, Bitcoin has shown a strong resilience when bouncing the price support of $ 109,000. By one Separate analysis post Due to cushions, the Prime Minister Cryptocurrency is now probably on its way to reclaim the resistance of $ 112,000.
If Marktbulls successfully overcome this barrier, further analysis suggests a potential increase of up to $ 117,000. As an alternative, a new retest of $ 109,000 can lead to a decisive break below this support level, making prices as low as $ 101,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin exchanges hands at $ 109,420, which reflects a decrease of 0.25% in the last day.