Crypto analyst Cryptollica published a new 2-week XRP/USD chart on December 8 via TradingView, arguing that the altcoin may be repeating the same structural pattern that preceded the explosive rally of 2017. With current price action hovering around the key $1.95 level and technical targets expected to reach $9-$13.
What happens if XRP repeats the 2017 fractal?
The analysis uses a long-term log chart from Binance, with the latest candle in the screenshot showing XRP trading around $2.0892. In this time frame, the analyst divides XRP’s history into mirrored cycles: 2014-2017 on the left and 2021-2025 on the right, each divided into segments labeled ‘Part 1’, ‘Part 2’ and ‘Part 3’.
Related reading
According to Cryptollica, “The cycle that XRP experienced between 2014 and 2017 is virtually an identical copy of the current cycle from 2021 to 2025.” In both cases, Part 1 is described as an accumulation phase, with XRP suppressed for an extended period of time below a blue dotted line, while higher lows form along an ascending dotted trendline.
The current Part 1, roughly 2022-2024, would have lasted significantly longer than the previous cycle. The analyst quotes the rule that “the larger the base, the higher in space,” arguing that this extended lateral structure signals a large build-up of potential energy.
Part 2 is defined as breaking out and retesting that blue resistance band. Once XRP definitively closes above this zone and consolidates there, the chart treats the area as new support and confirmation that “the official end of the downtrend and the beginning of a bull market” has been recorded. Cryptollica suggests that XRP is now in the final stages of this breakout phase, or has just completed it, within a two-week time frame.
The central reference point for the entire setup is the $1.95 level, indicated in green on the chart. “The $1.95 level, highlighted in green, is critical,” the analyst writes, emphasizing the classic principle that “once resistance is broken, it turns into support.” In this framework, XRP “currently remaining above this level (performing a successful retest) is the most crucial confirmation point for the continuation of the uptrend.”
Related reading
If that confirmation is correct, the analysis will move to part 3, called the ‘Parabolic Rise – Discovery Phase’. In 2017, this segment corresponded to a near-vertical advance that pushed XRP to its all-time high. Cryptollica states that XRP is now “right on the precipice of this ‘vertical launch’ in the current cycle,” illustrated by a steep yellow arrow on the logarithmic chart. The first major target is the region around the previous all-time high of around $3.30-$3.84. If the 2017 fractal “works out exactly,” the post projects an “implied target” between $9.00 and $13.00.
The analyst tempers this with several warnings. The crypto market is much bigger than it was in 2017, and a move to $10+ would imply a “colossal market cap,” making a repeat of the exact 2017 multiple “mathematically more challenging,” even if “logic often takes a backseat in the crypto mania.” The scenario also assumes supporting fundamentals, including regulatory issues, potential XRP ETF developments, and Ripple’s stablecoin strategy.
Parabolic phases, Cryptollica warns, are typically accompanied by “sudden drops of 30-40%,” making them “the most dangerous area for leveraged trading.” The analyst characterizes the overall outlook as “extremely bullish” as long as the $1.95 support holds, concluding that XRP is poised to “break its chains” and that, if broader market conditions remain constructive, “double-digit targets ($10+) for XRP are technically on the table.”
At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $2.07.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com