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Home»Bitcoin»Why the bottom is much lower
Bitcoin

Why the bottom is much lower

2026-01-02No Comments3 Mins Read
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Crypto analyst Crypto Whale has explained why the Bitcoin price could still fall to $25,000. The analyst also stated that this would set the macro bottom for the leading cryptocurrency, from which it is recovering this bear market.

Why Bitcoin Price Could Fall to $25,000

In one X messageCrypto Whale stated that the monthly chart suggested that the Bitcoin price could reach a macro bottom near $25,000 sometime in 2026. The analyst further noted that when history rhymes, these deep retracements tend to mark long-term effects. accumulation zones. He added that this does not mean the end of the cycle, but the reset before the next expansion.

Bitcoin
Source: Graph of Crypto Whale on X

However, in another X messageCrypto Whale Suggested Bitcoin Price Isn’t in a Bear Market Yet, Highlighting How Bitcoin Price Isn’t in a Bear Market Yet 2026 running of the bulls will likely unfold. He stated that the crypto market will see a Bitcoin-led rally this month, while a broad altcoin expansion will take place in February. The analyst expects the bull trap to kick in in March, which he believes will lead to volatility and panic selling.

Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Why Bitcoin Price Is Extremely Bearish Right Now

Once that happens, Crypto Whale predicts that May will usher in the capitulation phase, while June will see full confirmation of the bear market. This Bitcoin price outlook comes as a research firm XWIN Research noted that BTC has not clearly entered a new bullish trend. The company further stated this the crypto market remains in a high volatility environment, which is neither decisively bullish nor bearish.

See also  Bitcoin ETF Holdings dips under warning level, but it cannot affect the BTC breakout

Meanwhile, XWIN Research has raised the possibility that the Bitcoin price could drop to $50,000. They stated that this could happen as recession risks increase, with deleveraging and ETF outflows bringing the leading crypto below $80,000 and making $50,000 possible.

BTC Death Cross Signals Drop to $38,000

In one X messagecrypto analyst Ali Martinez drew attention to a death cross, which appears repeatedly on the BTC weekly chart. The analyst noted that if history repeats itself, Bitcoin price could register a similar correction of 50% to 60%, falling to a low of $38,000.

Related reading

This death cross between 10 weeks and 50 weeks simple moving averages This is said to have occurred in September 2014, leading to a 67% Bitcoin price correction. It also happened in June 2018, March 2020 and January 2022, resulting in price corrections of 54%, 53% and 64% respectively.

Martinez opined that the zone between $50,000 and $38,000 is starting to become interesting from a long-term spot accumulation perspective. He added that the market will confirm the next move for the Bitcoin price in its own time.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading around $88,700, up in the past 24 hours. facts from CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin
BTC is trading at $89,038 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image of Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

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