Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum’s price has struggled to sustain itself, and even after the crypto market’s recovery, the price remains below $4,000, which is an important psychological level. Considering all this, it seems that the cryptocurrency will end the month of October in the red, losing almost 5% of its value already this month. However, with the month of November quickly passing by, Ethereum price may be in for an upswing as November has historically been green for the market.
November could be key for the Ethereum price
Looking at the historical price facts for Ethereum on the CryptoRank website there seems to be a balance between years when the month was in the red and years when it was in the red vegetable. In ten years there have been five years in which the The Ethereum price has posted gains in November and five years of losses.
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However, there seems to be a rather bullish pattern: in the years when the month was green, double-digit gains were recorded, ultimately resulting in higher profits than losses. As a result, the average return for the month is 6.93% and the median return, although low, also remains positive at 1.42%.
Considering that there is no clear trend to indicate where the price is going, the bears and bulls appear to have an equal opportunity. But if it indeed turns out to be in the green, it is likely that the Ethereum price will see a double-digit increase. Such a move would help it clear the USD 4,000 resistance with momentum.
Q4 still has potential
Quarterly returns for the Ethereum price weren’t exactly the best in the last quarter of the year, but that doesn’t change the fact that the altcoin is performing quite well general. There is also a trend for the fourth quarter to end in the green if the previous second and third quarters were green, which is the case now.
In the second quarter of 2025, the Ethereum price ended with an average positive return of 36.5% and in the third quarter it followed with a return of 66.7%, the highest yet. With the trend low in October, there is already a 4.83% decline this year, but with more than two months to go, there is still time to change things.
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Only one year in history has the Ethereum price closed the fourth quarter in the red after the second and third quarters ended in the green, and that was nine years ago in 2016. Since then, the trend has always seen the ETH price continue its rally. This was already the case in 2017, and then again in 2020 and 2021.
Since then, this trend has not returned, and 2025 marks the first time in four years that the Ethereum price ended both the second and third quarters in the green. If the historic achievement According to the numbers, the Ethereum price could rise by 50% on average, or even double, as in 2017 and 2020, before the year is out.
Featured image of Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com