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In a thread on With a tenure at ADCF dating back to 2014, Milne’s insights carry significant weight in the investment community.
Bitcoin Predictions for 2025
Milne began his prediction by addressing the possible involvement of the United States in Bitcoin accumulation. “Some of my Bitcoin predictions for 2025: The big one: Trump will not announce the purchase of Bitcoin on behalf of the US in 2025, but he WILL sign an order preventing seized BTC from being sold… creating a de facto reserve . It will still create global FOMO,” Milne said.
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Milne therefore predicts that Trump will not follow US Senator Cynthia Lummis’ Bitcoin Act, which proposes to buy 1 million BTC over five years. However, Milne believes that under President-elect Trump, the US will keep its 198,109 BTC (according to Arkham data) as a national stockpile, as promised by Trump at the last Bitcoin conference in Nashville, which could potentially stoke global fear of something missing out (FOMO).
Expanding on the international landscape, Milne predicts greater adoption by smaller and more agile countries. “Other, smaller and more agile countries (besides Bhutan and El Salvador) will announce Bitcoin reserves and start buying or mining before the US does. Middle Eastern countries will begin to reveal their assets,” he noted.
Corporate involvement in Bitcoin is also expected to increase. Milne predicts that at least one other S&P 500 company, not Tesla or MicroStrategy, will announce a Bitcoin acquisition in 2025.
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Price projections remain bullish in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions. He expects: “Bitco should reach around $200-250,000 even without the US government buying anything. If the US actually starts buying, expect closer to $500,000. Yes, in 2025. This is because it officially becomes a nation-state arms race and there is not enough Bitcoin.”
Milne also discusses market dynamics and predicts that Bitcoin will peak in the second half of the year. Although his tip is October, he states that the bear market “will be significantly milder than the previous one as nation states and corporations will slowly accumulate.”
To address security and market stability concerns, Milne says: “Bitfinex is finally getting most of its hacked BTC returned… causing a temporary dip in the market as people say FUD and say they will dump Bitcoin (they don’t, they don’t). I will slowly convert 80% of it into LEO over 18 months.”
The collapse and subsequent recovery of major exchanges also plays a role in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions for 2025. He states: “FTX will start distributing the USD to creditors in the first quarter, through several major exchanges… making it easy for them to reinvest in Bitcoin, etc. At least 50% of the money returned will be reinvested.” This influx of reinvested funds is expected to inject liquidity back into the Bitcoin market, fueling renewed price appreciation.
Milne does not ignore the performance of institutional investors, noting: “MSTR achieves a ‘Bitcoin return’ of ~30% in 2025 before the premium closes.” Finally, Milne concludes his Bitcoin predictions with a note to Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. During his campaign, new US President Donald Trump promised to free Ulbricht. He predicts that Trump will follow through on his words: “Ross will be released.”
At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $93,070.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com