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Home»Analysis»Strategy to “Sell Some Bitcoin” After Posting a $12.7 Billion Loss in the First Quarter, While Saylor Points to a $5 Billion Bitcoin Gain
Analysis

Strategy to “Sell Some Bitcoin” After Posting a $12.7 Billion Loss in the First Quarter, While Saylor Points to a $5 Billion Bitcoin Gain

2026-05-06No Comments8 Mins Read
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Strategy reported a huge first-quarter loss after Bitcoin’s slump at the start of the year overwhelmed software revenue, even as Michael Saylor pointed to internal Bitcoin metrics showing continued gains in shareholder exposure.

The company, formerly known as MicroStrategy, reported a first-quarter net loss attributable to common shareholders of $12.77 billion, or $38.25 per diluted share.

Revenue rose 11.9% year over year to $124.3 million, but the result was dominated by a $14.46 billion unrealized loss on digital assets at fair value.

This outcome confirms the central tension surrounding the strategy model. The company may show rising Bitcoin per share metrics, while reported profits are reshaped by the market price of a single volatile asset.

Saylor’s favorite scorecard shows a company accumulating Bitcoin faster than dilution is eroding shareholder exposure. Traditional accounting shows a company whose profits can increase by billions of dollars in a single quarter.

Bitcoin yield will be Saylor’s main scorecard

Strategy said BTC returns reached 9.4% so far this year. The metric measures the change in Bitcoin ownership per diluted share and provides a way to assess whether the company is increasing Bitcoin exposure for shareholders even as it issues securities to finance purchases.

He also said:

We’ll probably sell some Bitcoin just to inoculate the market.

BTC Gain takes that percentage and turns it into a Bitcoin number. According to Strategy’s calculation, the increase this year is equal to 63,410 BTC.

The company also reported BTC profits of $4.97 billion, a dollar-denominated version of the same internal metric.

Strategy's Bitcoin Holdings Key Stats
Strategie’s Bitcoin Holdings Key Metrics (Source: Strategy)

For Saylor and his supporters, the numbers are proof that the company’s capital markets strategy continues to increase Bitcoin exposure for shareholders.

However, the measure is narrower than profit, cash flow or net income. It doesn’t show whether Strategy’s software business is improving, whether it’s becoming harder to meet dividend obligations, or whether the company’s financing costs are rising.

Instead, it answers one specific question: whether the company has increased Bitcoin per share over a selected period.

That distinction now frames the result for the first quarter. Strategy’s revenue came in at $124.3 million, up from $111.1 million a year earlier, with the legacy software unit taking a back seat.

The result was determined by Bitcoin accounting rather than product sales.

Strategy reported an operating loss of $14.47 billion, almost entirely due to the unrealized digital asset loss recorded during the quarter.

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That creates a gap between economic exposure and reported profits. Strategy’s Bitcoin metrics improved, but common shareholders absorbed a GAAP loss that was much deeper than pre-earnings consensus estimates.

Bitcoin buying continued during the withdrawal

The first quarter was a stress test for Strategy’s playbook. Bitcoin fell sharply during the period, yet the company continued to buy Bitcoin.

Strategy ended the period with 818,334 BTC on May 3, representing a 22% increase in holdings year to date.

The company said its Bitcoin position had a market value of $64.14 billion as of May 1, based on a Bitcoin price of $78,374. The average purchase price was $75,537 per coin, leaving the position modestly above cost at that reference price.

The holdings amount to approximately 3.9% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million tokens, giving Strategy a size unmatched by any other publicly traded company.

That concentration is the source of both the attraction and the risk.

When Bitcoin rises, Strategy’s balance sheet expands rapidly and its shares can move with greater force than the token itself. When Bitcoin falls, the same leverage becomes a liability, leading to accounting losses, pressure on the stock price and questions about whether the company should continue raising capital.

The stock’s history shows the extent of that swing. Since Strategy began its Bitcoin transformation in 2020, MSTR shares have risen as high as $500 by 2024, thanks to BTC’s rapid rise during the period, but fell to $100 earlier this year amid the top crypto’s price struggle.

The reaction after the win showed how sensitive equity remains to that balance. Strategy stocks fell after the results, even as the company continued to report growth in Bitcoin exposure.

This market reaction is important for the strategy model. A stronger stock price can make equity issuance more attractive, while tighter credit markets or declining stocks can make raising capital more expensive.

Saylor’s strategy depends on the long-term price of Bitcoin and the market’s willingness to continue funding the company along the way.

Preference shares will become the new financing channel

Strategy’s financing structure has become more complex as its Bitcoin holdings have expanded. The company has used convertible bonds and common stock for years, but the preferred stock program has become a more prominent part of the system.

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STRC, Strategy’s perpetual floating rate preferred stock, has become the clearest example. The instrument gives investors a high cash payout and gives Strategy another route to raise money for Bitcoin purchases. It also broadens the buyer base beyond investors who want direct exposure to common stocks.

Strategy said STRC has raised $5.58 billion and grown 189% year to date.

The preferred stock was launched with an annual dividend of 9% and has since risen following a series of increases aimed at keeping trading levels high in the instrument.

Strategy has also proposed a shareholder vote to double the STRC dividend payment frequency from monthly to semi-monthly, a change that would make the product more similar to a regular income vehicle for yield-oriented investors.

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The growth has been rapid. Saylor said STRC scaled to $8.5 billion in market capitalization within nine months of launch, making it one of the company’s most closely watched securities.

It has also started to move beyond traditional markets. Strategy said $270 million in STRC was held through DeFi protocols including Apyx and Saturn, while another $150 million was held in corporate government bonds.

Chief Executive Officer Phong Le has described STRC as a kind of battery that stores Bitcoin profits and distributes them over time.

The description reflects Strategy’s pitch: Investors in preferred stock receive income, while the company uses the capital to accumulate Bitcoin that could increase in value over the long term.

The structure works best when Bitcoin is rising, Strategy’s common stock is at a premium and investors are eager to buy the company’s securities.

In that environment, a new issuance could fund more Bitcoin purchases, increasing BTC per share and supporting the broader valuation story.

Dividend burden raises the risk bar

The challenge is that Bitcoin does not generate revenue. Strategy’s software business still generates revenue, but it is small relative to the size of the company’s Bitcoin holdings and the liabilities associated with its funding stack.

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This makes the preferred dividend burden a central risk. As Strategy issues more preferred stock, its annual cash obligations increase.

Strategy reported $692.5 million in cumulative preferred dividends and distributions as of the first quarter. It also said it had more than $13.5 billion in preferred stock outstanding.

These payments must be funded with existing cash, operating income, asset sales or additional capital raising. The more the company relies on preferred stock, the more important market access becomes.

Strategy reported $2.21 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter, giving it liquidity against near-term liabilities but leaving the broader model dependent on continued access to capital markets.

The company claims that its securities are backed by a large Bitcoin reserve. In an economic sense that is correct, but the legal structure is more complicated.

STRC is unsecured, meaning holders have no direct claim on specific Bitcoin collateral. In a stress scenario, the order of claims on convertible bonds, preferred shares and common shares would become crucial.

The size of Strategy’s Bitcoin position also poses a market structure problem. A forced sale by the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder would likely impact the price of the asset he is trying to monetize.

This makes the nominal value of the investments different from the amount that could be quickly realized under pressure.

For ordinary shareholders, the risk is subordination. Preferred dividends take precedence over common shares. If payments are missed, cumulative liabilities may increase instead of disappearing, increasing senior securities’ claim to future value.

That doesn’t mean the model is about to break. It means that the cost of maintaining it increases as the company grows. Each new round of funding can increase Bitcoin ownership, but can also add liabilities that must be met before common shareholders can benefit.

The Q1 report narrowed the problem. Strategy’s Bitcoin scorecard improved, but the GAAP loss showed how sharply earnings can move relative to common shareholders when Bitcoin falls.

The next test will be whether investors continue to fund that transaction after a quarter in which the company reported nearly $5 billion in BTC profits and a $12.77 billion loss attributable to common shareholders.

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Vitalik wil dat de prijscrashes van DeFi niet langer automatische liquidaties veroorzaken

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