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Home»Analysis»Bitcoin’s Drop to $72,000 Shows How US-Iran Tensions Are Hitting ETFs, Leverage, and Flows Again
Analysis

Bitcoin’s Drop to $72,000 Shows How US-Iran Tensions Are Hitting ETFs, Leverage, and Flows Again

2026-05-28No Comments7 Mins Read
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Bitcoin fell to the $72,000 level after a new wave of reported US military strikes on Iran pushed oil higher and sent another jolt through risk assets.

The largest cryptocurrency fell as much as 3.6% in a 24-hour period, hitting an intraday low of $72,792. Crypto Slates facts. It has recovered somewhat to $73,274 at the time of writing.

BTC’s decline coincided with a sudden spike in energy prices after the US military launched a new wave of airstrikes against Iranian targets. This disrupted the already fragile geopolitical landscape and reduced investor interest in risk assets worldwide.

The downward momentum quickly spread to the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset, fell about 5%, falling below the $2,000 mark.

Even recent market enthusiasts were caught in the crossfire: Hyperliquid (HYPE), which had staged an aggressive multi-week rally to an all-time high above $64, reversed sharply, falling more than 9% to near $55.

Other major tokens, including Solana, BNB, XRP, Cardano and Dogecoin, posted uniform losses as selling pressure spread across both centralized and decentralized platforms.

Geopolitical shocks impact energy and risk assets

The catalyst for the cross-asset de-risking event began in the Middle East, where the US military reportedly deployed F/A-18 fighter jets to attack an Iranian drone ground control unit in a major port city located on the Strait of Hormuz.

That’s what American defense officials say cited According to the Wall Street Journal, the action followed reports that Iranian forces had launched unmanned aerial vehicles that targeted commercial ships and U.S. assets in the region.

The situation further deteriorated when Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly issued a formal statement confirming that it had retaliated by attacking a US air base in Kuwait, warning that “aggression will not go unanswered.”

The military stock market immediately put pressure on traditional commodity markets. Brent crude futures rose nearly 5% to above $96 a barrel as energy traders priced in a significant risk premium.

Price of Brent crude oil Price of Brent crude oil
Price of Brent crude oil (source: Oilprices.com)

The renewed fighting effectively extinguished hopes for a short-term diplomatic solution that would secure the Strait of Hormuz. This is a crucial maritime artery that handles approximately 25% of the world’s total oil shipments.

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Rachael Lucas, a crypto analyst at BTC Markets, said about this market situation:

“It has been a very challenging 24 hours for digital asset markets as macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds weighed on investor sentiment at the same time.”

She stated that Bitcoin fell directly in response to escalating tensions between the US and Iran and the resulting logistical uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.

According to her, risk assets globally felt the pressure, although Bitcoin showed some degree of relative resilience compared to the structural damage seen in traditional equity and derivatives markets.

Leveraged longs face cascades of $930 million

When spot prices breached psychological support levels, the downward move caused severe liquidation in the cryptocurrency derivatives markets.

Crypto traders who had used high leverage to support bullish bets found themselves in a margin call squeeze. This forced automated platforms to systematically close out collateralized positions.

Facts of Coinglass revealed that $930 million in derivatives positions were forcibly liquidated within a 24-hour period. The volatility affected more than 166,130 individual retail and institutional accounts.

Liquidation of the crypto marketLiquidation of the crypto market
Liquidation of the crypto market (source: CoinGlass)

The financial damage was largely borne by bullish market participants. Long positions, which assume digital asset prices will continue to rise, accounted for about $870 million of the total outage.

In contrast, short sellers suffered modest losses, with only $60 million in short positions liquidated during the choppy trading session.

Bitcoin-linked contracts were the hardest hit by the liquidations, enduring more than $366 million in forced closures. Ethereum derivatives traders were similarly punished, suffering approximately $240 million in wiped out positions.

The largest individual liquidation took place on the Hyperliquid DEX platform, where a single Bitcoin swap contract worth $15.34 million was automatically terminated.

Institutional withdrawal: ETF outflows are accelerating

The market push was reflected in institutional capital flows, as US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded their second-largest outflows this year.

Facts from SosoValue shows that the total net outflow from the eleven listed US products was $733.4 million.

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Bitcoin ETF outflowsBitcoin ETF outflows
Bitcoin ETF outflows (source: SoSo Value)

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) led the retreat, losing an unprecedented $527.82 million in one session. The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) continued its structural bleeding with a drawdown of $104.76 million, while Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) recorded a reduction of $60.30 million.

Additional outflows were seen at Bitwise (BITB) and Ark Invest (ARKB), which lost $17.48 million and $17.39 million, respectively.

Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) was the lone bright spot, with modest net inflows of $4.29 million, while providers such as Invesco, Franklin Templeton, Valkyrie and VanEck reported flat flows.

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The one-day exodus extended the ongoing capital flight from spot Bitcoin products to eight consecutive trading days, with cumulative losses now reaching $2.6 billion.

The extended redemption streak has pushed total assets under management for US spot ETFs below the $100 billion mark, to around $97 billion at the time of writing.

Data on the chain indicates a ‘double risk’ regime

Below the price action, the underlying blockchain data indicates a fundamental shift in the market architecture.

According to Axel Adler, an on-chain analyst at CryptoQuant, more than 103,000 BTC returned to centralized exchanges over a 30-day period. This marks the most aggressive influx of tokens into trading platforms since spring 2025.

At the same time, stablecoin liquidity is leaving centralized exchanges at $153 million per day.

“Two basic flow metrics are warning signs at the same time,” Adler noted. “Coins are returning to exchanges, increasing the immediate supply of liquidity available for sale. Meanwhile, stablecoins are leaving platforms, robbing order books of purchasing power. This is the textbook definition of a double-risk off-market setup.”

The shift marks a complete structural reversal from the accumulation regime observed between March and April, when net currency flows reached a cycle low of -300,000 BTC, indicating that investors were aggressively moving assets into offline cold storage.

See also  Dogecoin shows major rebound signal, analyst warns
Bitcoin net flowsBitcoin net flows
Bitcoin Netflows (source: CryptoQuant)

The trend reversed on May 18, when net flows turned positive, eventually peaking on May 26 and leaving an increased supply glut, which has complicated Bitcoin’s defense of the $73,000 level.

Darkfost, an on-chain analyst at CryptoQuant, also pointed out that BTC is currently in a structural zone where spot demand is rapidly declining.

According to the analyst:

“Total monthly demand growth is currently averaging -139,000 BTC, pulling the asset back into its medium-term bearish corridor.”

Technical correction or structural change?

Despite the serious deleveraging, some research firms are warning against interpreting the decline as a permanent macroeconomic collapse.

Analysts note that geopolitical shocks traditionally cause rapid price dislocations that tend to normalize once local uncertainties disappear.

“The US attacks on Iranian positions have introduced an undeniable geopolitical risk premium across the spectrum of risky assets,” said Nicolai Sondergaard, research analyst at Nansen. “Bitcoin has absorbed about 5.5% of that premium over the past three days, adjusting from nearly $77,100 to the current range of $72,900. This dynamic is consistent with historical patterns we have tracked during previous military escalations in the Middle East.”

Sondergaard added that the critical metric to monitor is whether the conflict remains geographically limited or expands into a broader regional war. He told it CryptoSlate:

“Currency flows today have shifted to net inflows, proving that distributional pressures remain active. However, history shows that when geopolitical events act as the main catalyst – rather than a structural macroeconomic collapse – the resulting price decline is usually absorbed once the immediate logistical and political uncertainty has dissipated.”

Moreover, evidence of institutional contrarian accumulation also emerged during the broader defeat.

Ethereum treasury Bitmine executed a notable block purchase of 111,942 ETH, representing a capital commitment of $238 million.

Market observers see the size of the trade as an important countersignal to ETF daily redemptions, suggesting that long-term institutional conviction remains intact amid the immediate derivatives-induced panic.

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