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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin transitions to a higher volatility regime after prolonged compression: see how
Bitcoin

Bitcoin transitions to a higher volatility regime after prolonged compression: see how

2026-01-19No Comments3 Mins Read
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After weeks of unusually tight price action, Bitcoin is on the verge of breaking free from long-term volatility compression. As the price expands beyond its narrow range, liquidation activity increases and stronger reactions to macro and on-chain catalysts strengthen momentum. This shift suggests that BTC is entering a phase where wider daily ranges and greater market participation are likely to dominate the near-term structure.

What this expansion in volatility means for the next big trend

Bitcoin has officially entered a new volatility regime, and a major change in market structure is driving this shift. Analyst AliceMia did that revealed at In contrast, BTC is now more influenced by hedging flows, dealer positioning and inconstancy structures.

Related reading

As a result the price behavior changes. Instead of clean, linear breakouts fueled by forced liquidations, the market is seeing more magnet-level reactions around major strike levels and expirations. BTC price moves from a casino market to a structured market. This is usually what happens before the larger and more sustained movements.

Bitcoin continues to consolidate within the weekend range, which often acts as artificial liquidity the following week. Crypto trader Lennaert Snyder marked that the preferred scenario for long trades would be if BTC continues higher through Sunday and wipes out weekend liquidity on Monday/Tuesday.

According to Snyder, all eyes are on the US Open and he will only extend the reach of the US Open weekend liquidity if BTC breaks the structure by regaining the high of $95,820. Only after this structural break would long positions make sense, with the monthly high as the primary target. From there, a higher price is expected.

See also  Bitcoin Exchange Reserves at 5-Year Low: What This Means for BTC

On the other hand, the low of $94,635 is still the level to reach delay. As long as the price is higher than that on the higher time frames, the bullish structure remains intact. However, if BTC loses that level and returns to the previous range, momentum will likely turn bearish. In that case, after confirmation, a short installation may become valid. Trader Snyder concluded that the plan, as for Ethereum, remains unchanged from the previous one.

Confirmation of deviations could trigger the 2026 Super Rally

The Bitcoin weekly plan is unfolding exactly as expected. Trader Alienopstrading too declared that shorts remain the focus for the time being since the $110,000 to $120,000 zone. The price of BTC has entered a small consolidation and will see an increase movement similar to what the analyst previously mapped out.

Related reading

Once the lows are swept and BTC confirms the divergence, we may finally witness the super of 2026 collection that many have been waiting for. “Just as I give you the top, I also want to give you the bottom,” Alienopstrading noted.

Bitcoin
BTC is trading at $93,143 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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