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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin – Explaining why BTC’s price drop is not what it seems
Bitcoin

Bitcoin – Explaining why BTC’s price drop is not what it seems

2025-10-15No Comments3 Mins Read
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Key Takeaways

How Severe Was Bitcoin’s Last Drop?

Despite the sell-off, 90% of BTC supply remained profitable, showing limited panic or forced exits.

What caused the correction?

Over-indebtedness caused $132 million in short liquidations, but long-term holders remained calm, keeping BTC’s base stable.


Bitcoins [BTC] The latest sell-off seemed steep, but did not mirror the panics seen in the Luna or FTX crashes of 2022. The evidence points to a debt reset, not a crisis of confidence.

More than 90% of BTC supply is still profitable

Data from Glassnode showed that more than 90% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply remained profitable despite the recent decline. That difference indicated that most of the realized losses came from overexposed traders and top buyers, rather than long-term holders.

That’s a crucial distinction because it suggests that the correction was structural rather than emotional.

BTC offer for profitBTC offer for profit

Source: Glassnode

No sign of 2022-style capitulation

During the collapse of Luna and FTX, the percentage of supply in profits fell below 65%, marking a panic-induced capitulation phase. Those were textbook capitulations – moments when everyone rushed for the exit.

This time the design was completely different.

The recent decline was not fueled by fear or by spotholders selling under pressure. Instead, the crisis stemmed from an excessive debt burden in the derivatives market, which eventually had to be eliminated.

As the market turned against overexposed traders, their forced liquidations set off a rapid, mechanical chain reaction – sharp and sudden, but not emotionally driven.

BTC net realized gain_lossBTC net realized gain_loss

Source:

Leverage, not trust

CryptoQuant’s Short Liquidations data showed that approximately $132 million worth of shorts were liquidated near the $112,000 price zone. That cascade has wiped out over-indebted traders and dragged down prices, but it has also helped reset the market structure.

See also  Morgan Stanley files for Bitcoin ETF as US spot fund flows are cool

The short squeeze was a clear sign that the market was flushing out excess debt and laying a cleaner foundation for the next phase.

Bitcoin short liquidationBitcoin short liquidation

Source: CryptoQuant

Long-term Bitcoin holders remained calm

In previous capitulations, long-term portfolios sent BTC to exchanges – a classic panic signal.

This time, the long-term holder supply remained steady while the short-term holder supply rose, showing that newer traders were leading the selling.

That is a sign of increasing maturity in the market. Long-term investors didn’t budge, and that stability helps prevent a deeper collapse.

Bitcoin holders supplyBitcoin holders supply

Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin’s valuation remains balanced

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s MVRV Z-Score stood at 2.15, indicating that BTC was neither overvalued nor deeply undervalued.

Historically, values ​​below 1.0 indicate major bottoms, while values ​​above 6.0 mark euphoric highs.

BTC MVRV Z scoreBTC MVRV Z score

Source: CoinGlass

Taken together, the data shows that this correction was a healthy reset. Leverage disappeared, conviction remained strong, and Bitcoin’s structure appears poised for the next accumulation cycle.

Next: Ethereum’s 50-50 Setup Explained: Macro Fears vs. $376 Million Accumulation

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