XRP’s price slide deepened this week, but a technical view on a high timeframe keeps some traders hopeful. Based on reports from analyst Egrag Crypto, the monthly chart remains above the key 21-EMA, and that is considered the main guide to the long-term direction of the coin.
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Monthly chart contains the stronger signal
According to Egrag’s multi-timeframe review, seven major charts were checked and six were trading below the 21-day exponential moving average. The weaker frames include the four-hour, one-day, three-day, five-day, one-week, and two-week charts.
XRP is trading at $2.18, up 8.5% in the past 24 hours, but losing a paltry 0.8% on the weekly frame. That short-term decline explains the current mood among traders.
Big upside targets on the table
Reports have shown that the analyst’s longer-term model keeps XRP within an ascending channel on the monthly chart.
The model points to a target band between $9 and $13, and the analyst indicates that this outcome will have a 55-65% probability within three to six months if the monthly candle remains above its support.
#XRP – The Gap ($13) – 7 timeframes (🧵1/8):
There is 1 signal that is most important. Currently, there are 6 timeframes bearish below the 21 EMA:
4H⬇️
1D⬇️
3D ⬇️
5D ⬇️
1W⬇️
2W⬇️
But there is still 1 KING timeframe bullish:
1M (Monthly) ⬆️ Above 21 EMAGeneral note: in TA,… pic.twitter.com/788Mk5u5Ng
— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 1, 2025
From current prices, reaching $9 would require an increase of roughly more than four times, while $13 would represent a nearly seven-fold jump. Those are big moves and will likely require strong momentum to come together quickly.
Other analysts offer lower near-term estimates
Other analysts recently predicted a price of $4 in about four months or by the end of 2026, citing Ripple’s plan to launch RLUSD in Japan in the first quarter of 2026 as a possible driving force.
Based on reports, spot
Escrow release attracts attention
Meanwhile, on-chain data shows Ripple’s escrow unlocked 1 billion XRP for December in two equal transactions of 500 million each.
The first transfer went to the Ripple (9) address on Tuesday. At the time of reporting, the Ripple (9) wallet contained 500,000,204 XRP from that release.
One of the 500 million batches was valued at approximately $1.08 billion at the time it was moved. These monthly unlocks are routine, but are closely watched by the markets due to the additional supply that may come into circulation.
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What traders should pay attention to next
The short-term charts remain under pressure, and lower-term momentum indicators are weak. Still, momentum on higher timeframes can change quickly as buyers intervene, and a single monthly close below or above the 21-EMA would change how analysts interpret the situation.
Based on reports, holders following the monthly structure are urged to remain patient, while others warn that short-term selling may continue before there is any sustainable recovery.
Featured image of Gemini, chart from TradingView