It is becoming increasingly difficult for investors to ignore the long-term risks of artificial intelligence (AI), especially as it becomes more deeply integrated across industries. Effective risk management is therefore essential.
You can really see it in tech stocks, which are hitting new highs and raising big capital as investors bet on AI as the next big thing. The result? Technology stocks and the crypto market are moving in completely different directions.
In the charts Bitcoin [BTC] has fallen by 24%, while Nvidia [NVDA] continues to expand its gains after a 39% jump in 2025. At the time, BTC ended the year down 6.3%, showing how much tech stocks have benefited from the AI wave.
Source: TradingView (NVDA/USD)
Still, the fear of AI disruption is hard to ignore.
According to the Kobeissi letterThe number of mentions of “AI disruption” during the Q4 2025 earnings calls was 126, twice the level of the previous quarter and three times the level of a year ago, underscoring how volatile the market outlook has become.
Building on this, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, has done just that called the AI story the real catalyst for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, digital assets are predicted to reach all-time highs in the near future. The big question: is an AI-driven rotation the next big trend?
As AI shakes up the markets, Bitcoin could stand out as a hedge
Arthur Hayes’ thesis is based on the economic impact of AI.
Analysts consider the credit markets to be the area with the greatest risk. As AI automates jobs and increases productivity, it could cause deflation, potentially forcing banks to print more money to stabilize the economy.
In this context Analysts see the growing divergence between Bitcoin and tech stocks as an early signal of AI-driven ‘financial risk’. The idea is simple: the more capital investors invest in technology, the greater the potential risk of an economic slowdown.
Source: Bofa Global Research
Therefore, tracking this divergence has become an important metric for investors.
Meanwhile, as the chart above shows, confidence in the US dollar has reached extremely bearish levels since “Liberation Day” in April last year. In turn, it pushes it to a multi-month low and tests its overall strength.
Looking ahead, this Declining confidence could increase now that the AI disruption story is taking center stage. In this context, financial risk becomes a key theme, positioning Bitcoin as a long-term hedge as investors exit the oversaturated AI market and focus on risky assets.
Final summary
- The growing divergence between Bitcoin and technology stocks signals a potential economic slowdown, making this divergence an important metric for investors.
- Declining confidence in the US dollar and oversaturated AI markets could position Bitcoin as a long-term safe haven for circulating capital.