Technical analysis shared by crypto analyst CryptoBullet on
Bitcoin’s price action over the past few days has changed in a more vulnerable position, with the cryptocurrency falling below the psychological level of $90,000 after failing to hold higher ground above $97,000 on January 14.
How Bitcoin’s current structure resembles the fractal of 2022
According to CryptoBullet, Bitcoin’s current price action is closely following an interesting structure it played earlier in 2022. analysis of daily life The candlestick time chart posted by the analyst shows the previous move in 2022 as a transparent projection layered behind the current price action, with a striking similarity in both rhythm and volatility.
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As it stands, Bitcoin has experienced a significant pullback of 28.7% from its October 2025 peak and is now trading in a choppy consolidation, a behavior that closely mirrors the early stages of the 2022 downturn.
However, CryptoBullet noticed that there is an important distinction. During the 2022 decline, Bitcoin had already tested the 50-week moving average and the 200-day moving average at this stage of the cycle. As it stands, Bitcoin’s price action is trading below those levels, but no direct test has been done yet, and this means the structure may still be incomplete.
What the 2022 outcome portends for Bitcoin’s next step
The projection in the background of the chart shows that Bitcoin will make another push in the coming month, briefly regaining levels above $100,000 before hitting strong resistance at the 50-week moving average.
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If this scenario occurs, the move would resemble the last relief meeting seen in 2022, when price recovered to long-term resistance before reversing. CryptoBullet noted that the timing also supports this idea, noting that with the 2022 top aligned with the October 2025 top, there appears to be about a month of price action left before a final leg up.
The projection is that Bitcoin will rise again to at least $100,000 sometime in February 2026. Support must be above $83,000 for this to happen this bullish part of the setup is valid.
While the short-term projection is bullish, the fractal’s broader implication for 2022 is bearish for the medium term. According to the projected path in the chart, Bitcoin shows a negative impact on the 50-week moving average after a brief rally, followed by a sustained decline that ultimately takes the price action below $71,500.
This prediction is based on what exactly happened in 2022, when a final pump gave way to a deeper corrective phase. That said, fractals are guidelines and not guarantees, which means price history may rhyme, but it does does not always repeat itself exactly.
Featured image of Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com