Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading or other advice and is solely the opinion of the author.
Trading Bitcoin (BTC) can be both lucrative and challenging. Developing effective trading strategies that can help traders navigate complex and ever-changing market conditions is one way to do this. This is especially true with regard to the world’s largest cryptocurrency, an asset that is no stranger to volatility over the years.
The price of the cryptocurrency fluctuated between $200 and $1,000 on the price charts for a long time. However, at the end of 2017, BTC’s value exploded, hitting an all-time high of nearly $20,000 in December.
Read Bitcoin [BTC] Price Forecast 2023-24
As market participation increased, the price rally was also short-lived. By the beginning of 2018, the price of BTC had fallen back to about $3,000. The cryptocurrency market as a whole went through a period of decline, with many investors losing significant amounts of money.
Nevertheless, Bitcoin made a remarkable recovery, surpassing its previous all-time high in late 2020 and hitting an all-time high of over $68,000 in November 2021. However, the 2022 trading year ushered in a new era of bearishness, one exacerbated by the collapse of Terra/LUNA and FTX. In fact, in November 2022, Bitcoin was trading at a two-year low of $15,000.
While the crypto market can be unpredictable and volatile, traders and investors can make informed decisions by staying abreast of market news, following expert analysis, and using intelligent trading strategies such as those offered by ChatGPT.
ChatGPT: A Messiah Who Can Help You Act Better?
In November 2022, the ChatGPT AI model was launched to the public. In fact, it quickly gained a lot of attention. With its wide range of capabilities and versatility, the question arises whether there are other ways ChatGPT can lend its expertise, such as helping BTC traders formulate and apply enhanced trading strategies.
When asked if it could do this, ChatGPT had this to say:
Source: ChatGPT
Due to its nature as an AI tool, there are limitations to what ChatGPT can do regarding price predictions and future price movements. However, there are ways to leverage the tool’s capabilities to formulate better trading strategies as a BTC trader.
One way to use the AI tool to make better trading strategies is to use it for fundamental analysis. ChatGPT is capable of extracting insights from financial news articles, social media posts, and other unstructured data sources. This information can then be used in conjunction with other data sets to create informed trading strategies.
Another way to use ChatGPT as a Bitcoin trader is to use it for sentiment analysis. ChatGPT can be refined to perform sentiment analysis on information from news articles, on-chain data providers, social media discussions, and other sources. This can be used to identify if the BTC market is stalling under positive sentiment or plagued by negative sentiment.
In addition, ChatGPT can be used by BTC traders for technical analysis. Traders can ask ChatGPT to code any technical indicator or trading bot for any trading platform.
For example, I asked ChatGPT to give me an example of a trading bot I can use to track BTC price volatility in pine-script – TradingView’s programming language useful for backtesting trading strategies. The AI replied,
Source: ChatGPT
To use ChatGPT for technical analysis, traders need to be familiar with the language to know when to make the necessary changes to make the code work correctly. The wording of the entry is crucial in how ChatGPT understands the problem to provide the expected solution.
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For a well-rounded piece, I spoke to Brian Quinlivan, the director of marketing at Santiment, who also happens to be involved in Bitcoin trading for a few years.
Brian Quinlivan holds an MBA degree in finance from Chapman University and Brian has over 10 years of experience in marketing, finance and data analytics. He likes to create financial models to improve modern investment strategies and study the intricacies of market variations.
Q: In what ways do you think ChatGPT can revolutionize cryptocurrency trading?
Yes, I think there will be a lot of use for it, especially for trading strategies. One thing to worry about is the unified opinions that can result from an AI technology giving some sort of overarching strategy, be it hodling or fundamental strategy.
ChatGPT can easily be used for manipulation and even unintentionally manipulate its audience, and we are already seeing small effects from it.
I think it can be both useful and dangerous at the same time and get a lot of people educated much faster, but also pulled in directions that could influence the way crypto goes and create a lot of self-fulfilling prophecies.
Question: How do you think a BTC trader/investor can use the AI tool to make better investment decisions?
I think, in short, I think scripts would be used a lot more in AI due to the fact that all the data can be processed at the same time and get a very simple answer whether to buy or sell. I believe this can greatly affect the markets moving forward.
How soon can BTC reach $30,000 again?
As mentioned above, ChatGPT is unable to make future predictions. However, I asked it to give me its take on how quickly BTC would claim the $30,000 psychological price point in the face of ostensibly bearish macro factors.
To make it answer my question, I decided to jailbreak it using the Do something now (THEN) method. It then had this to say:
Source: ChatGPT
I further questioned the AI technology on Bitcoin prices between 2023 and 2024.
Source: ChatGPT
At the time of writing, BTC was trading at USD 27,145. With a moderate increase of 1.09% in a week, BTC has fluctuated between $27,600 and $26,000 over the past seven days. Investors hope that the token will recover and somehow reach the price of $30,000.
As investors expect to recover the $30,000 level, many have taken profits from their investments. According to data from Sanitationthe coin’s MVRV ratio was 45.85% at press time, positioned in an uptrend.
Source: Sentiment
A positive MVRV ratio of more than two for any crypto asset means that holders can earn on average twice their initial investment if they sell their coins at the price at the time of writing.
The daily chart has seen sellers controlling the BTC market and has been doing so for the past few days, thanks to the downward price movement seen recently. At the time of writing, the positive turn signal (blue) at 11:95 p.m. rested above the negative turn signal (orange) at 5:47 p.m.
Moreover, at 16.05, the Average Directional Index (magenta) revealed a bearish trend for the major cryptocurrency. BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54.39 rested well below its 50 neutral spot. The Money Flow Index (MFI) was mildly bullish at 65.43.
In conclusion, most indicators are pointing to bearish price movement for the next few days.
Source: BTC/USD, TradingView
ChatGPT may be right
According to ChatGPT, the price of BTC is expected to continue rising between 2023 and 2024, breaking new all-time highs due to increased adoption (by businesses and institutions) and as BTC’s appeal as a hedge against inflation grows. This forecast is perfect as favorable macro conditions could help drive the value of the leading currency higher.
However, it is trite to note that increased regulation and government action can spread FUD, which can cause the price to fall.