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Home»Analysis»Can Morgan Stanley’s MSBT momentum topple BlackRock’s IBIT?
Analysis

Can Morgan Stanley’s MSBT momentum topple BlackRock’s IBIT?

2026-04-09No Comments5 Mins Read
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On April 8, Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin exchange-traded fund began trading on the NYSE Arca under the ticker MSBT, registering 1.6 million shares and approximately $34 million in volume on its highly anticipated first day.

The MSBT fund bought 430 Bitcoin on its first day, after net inflows of $30.6 million.

Speaking about this performance, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that MSBT’s performance puts the company comfortably in the top 1% of all ETF launches over the past year.

By comparison, the vast majority of newly launched ETFs across all asset classes average $1 million or less on their first day of trading.

This is one of the clearest signs yet that traditional finance is no longer just allocating exposure to Bitcoin. The country is starting to directly produce and price that exposure, which could change fees, advisor flows and demand for new ETFs.

Morgan Stanley's first bank-issued Bitcoin ETF is about to sell BTC directly to customersMorgan Stanley's first bank-issued Bitcoin ETF is about to sell BTC directly to customers
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Meanwhile, its performance is particularly notable given the broader market context. On its first day of trading, the broader Bitcoin ETF sector saw $124 million in outflows, with only MSBT and BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) managing to record positive inflows.

Bitcoin ETFs daily flows
Daily flows of Bitcoin ETFs (Source: Trader T)

This underlines the immediate market appeal of Morgan Stanley’s offering and signals a potential shift in the way institutional capital flows into the sector.

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Unleashing a race to the bottom in terms of compensation

With this launch, Morgan Stanley became the first major US bank to issue a spot Bitcoin ETF under its own name, breaking the ice for previously sidelined traditional financial institutions.

Wall Street’s heavyweight doesn’t just rely on age-old brand prestige; it has deliberately ignited a fierce fee war in the Bitcoin ETF market.

MSBT charges a unitary delegated sponsorship fee of 0.14%, making it the absolute cheapest spot Bitcoin ETF currently available to US investors. This aggressively undercuts the market-leading IBIT, which currently has an expense ratio of 0.25%, and Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF of 0.15%.

Industry experts note that this very low fee structure could force other established asset managers to lower their own expense ratios to stay competitive, echoing the wave of fee waivers and aggressive undercutting we saw when the first wave of ten spot funds debuted in early 2024.

The low cost of MSBT makes a compelling mathematical argument for fee-conscious institutional allocators.

MSBT’s competitive moat

Despite the cheap fees, market observers have noted that Morgan Stanley’s true competitive position rests on its unparalleled distribution network.

The firm employs approximately 16,000 wealth management advisors who oversee a staggering pool of client assets. Firmwide client assets are estimated to be as high as $9.3 trillion, while assets directly managed by the wealth advisory division are $6.2 trillion.

Nate Geraci, president of NovaDius Wealth Management, emphasized that distribution “is king in the ETF space.” He noted that the combination of Morgan Stanley’s extensive advisor network and the lowest fees in the industry creates a remarkably strong formula for accumulating assets at scale.

See also  Morgan Stanley ordered to pay $117,400,000 fine over dividend tax evasion scandal

For growth-oriented portfolios, the firm’s advisors currently recommend a 2% to 4% allocation to Bitcoin, while they recommend a strict 0% allocation for conservative and income-oriented portfolios.

This systematic, corporate-endorsed integration into traditional portfolio construction signals a monumental shift in the way the traditional financial industry views and uses digital assets.

Behind the scenes, MSBT operates strictly on institutional infrastructure. The fund aims to track the performance of the asset as measured by the CoinDesk Bitcoin Benchmark 4PM NY Settlement Rate.

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To ensure security and operational efficiency, Morgan Stanley has tapped Coinbase and BNY to provide digital asset custody services, with BNY additionally serving as custodian for accounting, record keeping and cash management.

Amy Oldenburg, head of digital asset strategy at Morgan Stanley, summarized the firm’s thesis, noting that MSBT reflects a company-wide approach to “building digital asset capabilities in a thoughtful manner, based on traditional governance and a market infrastructure that seeks to meet long-term customer needs.”

Market Outlook for MSBT

This measured institutional approach fits seamlessly with the current macroeconomic background.

Bitcoin’s latest traditional financial wrapper is coming as the underlying digital assets consolidate near the crucial $70,000 level.

This represents a healthy cooldown from the cryptocurrency’s most recent all-time high above $126,000, presenting a potential accumulation window for traditional capital that may have missed the previous retail-driven run-up.

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Investor interest in risk assets started somewhat slowly in 2026, although demand for Bitcoin ETFs showed signs of recovery. The nine funds saw total inflows of $1.3 billion in March, pushing the cumulative assets of all U.S. Bitcoin ETFs past the $90 billion mark.

Still, Balchunas predicts that the MSBT fund could ultimately amass $5 billion in assets under management in its first year of existence.

Despite its monumental launch and strategic advantages, questions remain about whether MSBT can truly topple the established pioneers.

BlackRock currently dominates the market and has over $55 billion in net assets in its IBIT fund. When asked if MSBT could ultimately surpass the behemoth that is BlackRock, Balchunas was blunt, saying:

“Beyond a miracle, no.”

Whether MSBT can maintain its initial momentum despite IBIT’s deep liquidity and dominance of the options market will ultimately determine whether Wall Street’s direct entry will fundamentally reshape the competitive balance.

But for now, the arrival of a historical titan in the arena represents an undeniable confirmation of BTC’s solidity in the traditional financial sector.

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