Bitcoin (BTC) just showed a ‘Death Cross’, a technical signal that has historically preceded major market bottoms. Market analyst CrypFlow, who identified the chart pattern, notes that the current setup unfolds almost identically the 2022 bear market cycle. In his analysis, he outlines a potential price target for a Bitcoin bottom and shares what history suggests could be the next move if the death cross follows the same trajectory as in previous cycles.
Bitcoin Death Cross signals more disadvantages
CrypFlow shared his ominous analysis of X, which confirms a Death cross on the three-day BTC chart spotted earlier bear market bottoms. The formation comes as Bitcoin faces significant selling pressure and market volatility, with investor sentiment taking a back seat and geopolitical tensions fueling more fear and panic, pushing holders to exit the market.
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CrypFlow has stated that the current Death Cross has formed against the backdrop of Bitcoin trading around $66,200 at the time of the analysis, with the figure well below the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $89,799 and the 200 SMA of $91,226. The huge gap between the price and both moving averages underlines how aggressively the market has deteriorated since then Bitcoin’s cycle top above $126,000 in October 2025.
The analyst makes a direct comparison between the current Death Cross and the 2022 bear market cycle, which was preceded by an identical Death Cross pattern Bitcoin’s Most Devastating Price Crash to a final bottom. In that cycle, CrypFlow noted that the Death Cross formation came after reaching peaking above $66,000.
When Bitcoin reached this ATH level, it started to move downwards and formed a Death Cross, eventually leading to a final capitulation low a month later. Interestingly, the cryptocurrency experienced a double bottom after crashing again in 2023, with this last decline serving as the basis for the next bull run.
Analyst shares BTC’s bottom target and timeline
The Death Cross pattern is widely recognized as a bearish warning signal indicating a negative trend more pain ahead for Bitcoin. Following the 2022 cycle, when the market bottomed out about a month after the crossroads was confirmed, CrypFlow has identified March 29, 2026 as a key time to watch out for. Bitcoin’s potential price bottom this cycle. He suggests a possible target in the neighborhood of $50,000, viewing the expected one-month time frame as a historically informed turning point rather than a guaranteed outcome.
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CrypFlow has outlined three different conditions it plans to monitor as that window approaches. The first is the continued price weakness through the end of March, which could serve as behavioral confirmation that the current cycle reflects past patterns. The second condition the analyst looks for is proof of this seller exhaustion near the March 29 window.
His third and perhaps most important condition is to recover the main moving averages after an eventual bottom. CrypFlow emphasized that this recovery should be seen as confirmation of a completed bottom.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com