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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin, ETFs and the ‘dual strategy’ that analysts are talking about today
Bitcoin

Bitcoin, ETFs and the ‘dual strategy’ that analysts are talking about today

2025-12-09No Comments4 Mins Read
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Bitcoin [BTC] has been pulled in two directions over the past year. One is Wall Street’s neatly packaged ETFs, the other is back to the roots of “not your keys, not your coins.”

And instead of choosing a side, the crowd chooses to embrace both.

In 2025, the real Bitcoin strategy is not maximalist or institutional. It’s a split personality that finally makes sense.

ETFs vs. self-custody

ETFs have become the most convenient gateway to Bitcoin for a growing class of investors who want exposure without the hassle of private keys.

Institutional access, deep liquidity and integration with retirement accounts have made them the default entry point.

bitcoinbitcoin

Source: SoSoValue

And the numbers support that.

Throughout 2024 and most of 2025, monthly spot Bitcoin ETF flows were overwhelmingly positive, with several months seeing inflows of $4 billion to $6 billion. This is mainly at the end of 2024 and mid-2025.

Even total net assets rose steadily toward $140 billion by July 2025, so institutional allocations are aggressive.

ETF analyst Eric Balchunas seems to agree: say in an X-post:

“What I don’t understand is why the snobbish OGs were okay with crypto exchanges holding your bitcoin and not ETFs? It’s the same outsourced custody concept, only ETFs are much cheaper and more secure.”

This clarity is important for many new investors. Bitcoin in an ETF feels familiar and regulated. And that, packaged for the TradFi world, seems to be exactly what much of the market wants.

For longtime Bitcoin users, however, the appeal has always been sovereignty. That’s why self-custody is non-negotiable for many OGs, even as ETFs gain mainstream momentum.

See also  Bitcoin Whales Sell 50,000 BTC Worth $2.2 Billion, Is the Rally Over?

As Sam Wouters, marketing director at River, put it,

“On an exchange you can withdraw at any time under your own management, but this is not the case with an ETF.”

That freedom of movement is the crux of this side of the argument. For them, “snobbish OGs love bitcoin as money that creates freedom.”

For them, an ETF is a bird in a cage.

The new middle way

The custody debate ultimately boils down to one thing: control.

Early Bitcoiners tolerated keeping coins on exchanges because they could take them out at any time and return to full sovereignty. ETFs don’t offer that. They package Bitcoin but block the ability to ever touch it.

That is why a new dual strategy is emerging. Like Bitcoin maxi Fred Krueger says it,

“The answer is BOTH: welcome adoption by banks, ETFs and the larger establishment… while encouraging and practicing self-preservation. And defend the right to self-determination.”

Investors today use ETFs for convenience and cold wallets on principle. This is a balance sheet that proves Bitcoin is coming of age.

AMBCrypto previously reported that 171 negative Bitcoin days have already been recorded in 2025, potentially putting the market in a sideways pattern.

With corporate government bonds now holding over 1 million BTC (more than major exchanges, mind you), this growing base is starting to act as a new structural floor for the asset.

ETFs are a structural part of the Bitcoin market

They add liquidity and give institutions a regulated path to participate without operational complexity. At the same time, self-governance continues to protect Bitcoin’s core promise.

See also  'We're through the down cycle' – Cathie Wood questions Bitcoin's four-year cycle

That means open access, user control, and the ability to move value without permission.

These two songs don’t compete so much as they stabilize each other.

The balance helps create a more sustainable ecosystem. Demand for ETFs ensures predictable inflows, while restraint ensures Bitcoin doesn’t stray too far from its original design.

Miners, custodians, exchanges and asset managers now operate in a shared loop instead of on opposing sides.

The resulting offering is a clearer identity for Bitcoin going forward. BTC will be an asset that can live comfortably within the traditional financial world, without losing the ability to exist outside of it.

If anything, the dual structure makes this a market that is increasingly flexible, accessible and better able to support the next wave of users.

The fact that no purity testing is required is a big plus.


Final thoughts

  • Bitcoin’s future is a place where ETFs and self-custody reinforce each other.
  • With 171 red days and over 1 million BTC held by companies, the market is stabilizing even with its changing identity.

Next: Bitcoin price enters ‘controlled volatility’ phase – what this means for $90,000

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Analysts Bitcoin dual ETFs strategy talking Today
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