XRP may need as many as five macro cycles to break above $100, according to a chart shared by analyst TARA, known on
In the afterTARA said the projection was built around price targets rather than a calendar. “Please note that I only measured for price, NOT time. I only used the textbook/conservative targets and as cycles evolve, each of these targets will be adjusted to reflect actual numbers,” the analyst wrote. “This is how many MACRO cycles it could take for XRP to break $100. Many waves, many corrections, many years.”
The expected path above $100 for XRP
The chart (12-month XRP/USDT Binance pair) charts a staircase of cycle tops, starting with a completed Cycle 1 target at $3.65. From there, the model points to around $8.68 for cycle 2, around $22.50 for cycle 3, almost $59 for cycle 4, and around $153 for cycle 5. On that framework, XRP doesn’t clear $100 until the fifth major leg higher.
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That immediately pushed the conversation toward timing. One commenter wondered whether not reaching $8 means the market is still in Cycle 2 and therefore could take “20 years or more” to reach the triple digits. TARA did not promise a precise time frame, but suggested the process could take a long time at the current pace. “Yes, maybe ten years at the current rate… hard to say… and of course SO many factors could accelerate these cycles. However, price targets would remain – it would just move through the cycle much faster.”
The thread also made it clear that the analyst is not advocating a linear increase. Asked whether XRP could move straight from the $8.68 area to the $22.50 area, TARA said a correction would still be needed, adding that a conservative retracement back to around $3.65 should be expected. In a follow-up, the analyst said that “two major corrections are expected to $22,” reinforcing the idea that the expected path is sequential and structurally messy, and not parabolic.
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This longer-term map is accompanied by a much more cautious short-term view. In an earlier post on March 9, TARA said that The analyst said the “plan has not changed” and that the .786 support at $0.87 was still expected before XRP “kicked off for Wave 3.”
That bearish intermediate stance remained intact in later replies. When asked if XRP could drop to $0.87 before printing new all-time highs, TARA said yes, while noting one condition that could briefly extend the uptrend first. “We should keep a close eye on this as it tries to break above $1.47,” the analyst wrote. “If so, and depending on BTC targeting $75.4k-$79k, it could send XRP up to $1.88 and still fall back to $0.87.”
In the same reply thread, the next major resistance was placed at $1.88 on Binance, which according to TARA is approximately equal to $2.02 on Coinbase due to price differences at the exchange rate level. On momentum, the analyst added that Bitcoin would soon test $75,400, but said XRP’s RSI did not “break through,” a sign that the move still looked corrective rather than the start of a new trend.
At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.50.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com