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Home»Analysis»Ethereum whales cause market panic with large ETH offload
Analysis

Ethereum whales cause market panic with large ETH offload

2026-02-06No Comments6 Mins Read
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Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin and other prominent “whales” have spent millions of dollars on ETH since early February, adding narrative fuel to a market crash that has seen the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency fall below $2,000.

While Buterin’s high-profile sales provided a psychological trigger for retail panic, a closer look at the market data suggests that the main pressure came from systemic deleveraging and record-breaking sales activity across the network.

Nevertheless, these divestitures, combined with significant selling by other industry insiders, have prompted investors to wonder whether project leaders are losing confidence or simply managing operational runways amid extreme volatility.

Ethereum Fees Are Falling So Fast That Vitalik Buterin Says Most Layer 2 Chains Are Now PointlessEthereum Fees Are Falling So Fast That Vitalik Buterin Says Most Layer 2 Chains Are Now Pointless
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Why is Buterin selling his Ethereum holdings?

According to the blockchain analytics platform, Buterin has sold 6,183 ETH ($13.24 million) over the past three days at an average price of $2,140. Look at chain.

Vitalik Buterin ETH sale
Vitalik Buterin ETH Sales (Source: Lookonchain)

However, the details of Buterin’s trades reveal a calculated, rather than panic-driven strategy.

Notably, Buterin publicly announced that he had set aside 16,384 ETH, valued at around $43-$45 million at the time, for deployment in the coming years.

He stated that the funds will be earmarked for open source security, privacy technology and broader public good infrastructure as the Ethereum Foundation enters a period of “mild budget cuts.”

In this light, the most defensible explanation for “why he sold” is mundane. It appears that this involves converting a pre-allocated ETH budget into spendable runway (stablecoins) for a multi-year funding plan, rather than a sudden attempt to time the top of the market.

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However, the channel through which these sales impact the market is more narrative than liquidity-based. When investors see founder portfolios actively on the sell side during a recession, sentiment tilts and deepens the bearish resolve of an already shaky market.

Yet Buterin remains an ETH whale, with over 224,105 ETH in his possession, equivalent to approximately $430 million.

Ethereum Hit by Billions of Dollars Selling Pressure as the Largest Crypto Fund Faces an $862 Million Liquidation RiskEthereum Hit by Billions of Dollars Selling Pressure as the Largest Crypto Fund Faces an $862 Million Liquidation Risk
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Did Buterin’s ETH Sales Cause a Market Crash?

The key question for investors is whether Buterin’s selling mechanically pushed ETH below $2,000.

From a structural perspective, it’s hard to argue that Buterin’s $13.24 million selloff breaks a major market level on its own, given ETH’s multi-billion dollar daily trading volume.

Thus, a sales order of this size is small relative to average sales and lacks the volume necessary to leverage the depth of the order book and significantly reduce prices on its own.

Buterin didn’t sell in a vacuum. He was part of a broader exodus of large farmers who collectively pressed the market.

On-chain trackers spotted significant activity from Stani Kulechov, the founder of the DeFi protocol Aave. Kulechov sold 4,503 Ethereum (worth about $8.36 million) at a price of about $1,857 just hours before ETH’s decline accelerated.

This activity is symptomatic of a broader trend. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the network has seen record sales activity this month.

Ethereum Spot average order size Ethereum Spot average order size
Ethereum Spot average order size (source: CryptoQuant)

The analytics firm noted that the network had seen an increase in large whale order sizes during the recession, indicating that wealthy individuals and entities were actively de-risking the liquidity provided by the downturn.

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Ethereum Taker VolumeEthereum Taker Volume
Ethereum Taker Volume (source: CryptoQuant)

While a single whale cannot crash the market, a synchronized exit by industry leaders could create a self-fulfilling prophecy.

When liquidity is tight and debt levels are under pressure, these ‘headline flows’ signal to the broader market that ‘smart money’ is reducing risk, prompting smaller traders to follow suit in an effort to preserve capital.

The real drivers behind ETH’s crash

While the story focused on the founders’ portfolios, most of the crash was caused by three different market forces: deleveraging, ETF outflows, and macroeconomic headwinds.

Coinglass data indicated hundreds of millions of dollars in ETH liquidations over 24 hours during the worst of the move, with long liquidations dominating.

This created classic cascading conditions in which price declines lead to forced selling from over-leveraged positions, which in turn lead to further declines and additional forced selling.

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At the same time, institutional support disappeared. According to data from SoSo Value, US ETH ETFs have recorded net outflows of approximately $2.5 billion over the past four months.

This happened alongside much larger outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. This represents the kind of institutional risk reduction that is more important than any wallet, while the market is already sliding.

These crypto-specific issues are further compounded by the macroeconomic backdrop.

Reuters linked the cryptocurrency’s broader decline to a cross-asset sell-off and increased liquidity fears. The crypto market has lost about $2 trillion from its October 2025 peak, with about $800 billion wiped out in the past month alone, as investors reduced risk and unwound their leveraged positions.

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Indicators to watch

As the market tries to find a bottom, three indicators will be more important than any whale alarm.

First, there is liquidation intensity. If forced liquidations remain high, ETH could move further down even without additional discretionary selling.

According to Phemex analysts, a decline in liquidation totals in addition to stabilization is often the first sign that the cascade has burned out.

Secondly, there is the ETF flow regime. One day of outflows is a mess, but a multi-week streak changes the marginal buyer. ETH’s short-term trajectory depends heavily on whether institutional flows stabilize or continue to culminate in broader risk behavior.

Finally, investors should pay attention to foreign exchange inflows and the behavior of major shareholders.

Founder wallets are visible, but the more telling indicator is whether large holders are increasing their deposits on exchanges (distribution) or whether coins are moving to cold storage and staking (accumulation). When these signals reverse, the market usually follows.

The bottom line is that Vitalik Buterin’s sales are best understood as the execution of a pre-announced financing plan tied to public goods and open source releases, and not as a sudden loss of confidence.

But in a collapse caused by leverage liquidations, ETF outflows and the removal of macro risks, even “small” founder sales could have disproportionate consequences.

They do this not by supplying enough ETH to break $2,000, but by adding narrative fuel to a market already looking for a reason to sell first and ask questions later.

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