A single historical parallel is driving one analyst’s bold call on XRP – and it hinges on a rally that hasn’t yet happened.
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Channel pattern follows 9 months of price action
Chartist Celal Kucuker has mapped out a descending channel that has guided XRP’s price movements since the token hit an all-time high of $3.6 in July 2025.
The channel has two boundaries: a lower trendline that goes back even further – to when XRP retreated from $3.4 in January 2025 – and an upper trendline that formed after the July peak. Together they locked in the price of the token for the better part of nine months.
Two from Kucuker projected goals within that channel have already been touched. XRP climbed to $2.4 in January 2026, reached the upper trendline, then reversed and fell to $1.1 in early February, landing close to the lower bound. Both moves went largely as the analyst had outlined.
XRP is now trading around $1.41, down 24% since the beginning of the year.
Ripple XRP
2.40$ ☑️
1.10$ ☑️
1.80$ ⌛️
0.90$ ⌛️
$8.60 ⌛️ September – December pic.twitter.com/dFilurLCVC— Celal Kucuker (@CelalKucuker) March 13, 2026
Two more moves before a possible breakout
According to Kucuker’s roadmap, the price action is not yet complete. He expects XRP to bounce towards $1.8 – a retest of the upper trendline – before pulling back to around $0.9, which would mark another touch to the lower bound and potentially push the token below $1.
According to him, only after that last retest does the setup for an outbreak arise.
When that breakout comes, Kucuker sets the upside target at $8.6. He predicts these will unfold between September and December 2026. Based on the estimated breakout price, that would mean a gain of 330%.
That percentage is not arbitrary. It mirrors what XRP did the last time it broke out of a similar structure. After crossing a similar descending channel in November 2024, the token rose 330% to reach $3.4 in January 2025. The current projection applies the same multiplier to the new setup.
Wider market increases uncertainty
The cryptocurrency market didn’t make it easy. Reports indicate that the global cryptocurrency market capitalization has fallen 18% since January to around $2.4 trillion. XRP’s losses have surpassed that decline.
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None of this in itself derails a technical forecast based on chart patterns rather than macro conditions. But the size of the expected move – from a potential low of near $0.9 to a target of $8.6 – would require sustained buying pressure for several months, with few major disruptions along the way.
Kucuker did not specify a timeline for the short-term moves to $1.8 and $0.9. These steps are treated as preconditions, not as endpoints. The $8.6 figure only comes into focus after the channel breaks upward.
As of March 14, XRP continues to trade well within the channel’s boundaries, with the next major level – the retest at the $1.8 upper trendline – still to come.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView