Crypto markets have been volatile lately and traders are now eagerly awaiting clear signals from the economy as these reports will determine whether risky assets like crypto can recover or remain under pressure.
Now that the US government shutdown is over, the coming weeks could be a decisive period for the market’s next big move.
According to Bull theorythe next 45 days will be very crucial. All delayed economic data will be released and any report could directly influence market movements. Here’s a look at the upcoming reports and how they could impact stocks, cryptocurrencies, liquidity, and the Fed’s rate cut decisions.
November 20: Delayed September jobs report
The delayed September jobs report will be released on November 20. If unemployment rises, it would confirm that the economy is slowing and increase the chances of rate cuts by the Fed, which would have a positive impact on risky assets like crypto.
But if unemployment remains low, the Fed has no immediate reason to cut rates, leaving markets cautious.
November 26: Third Quarter GDP Update, Personal Income, Spending, PCE (October)
These reports will provide important insights on growth, wages and inflation. Slower GDP growth and a softer PCE would mean demand is cooling. This would give the Fed room to ease policy, which would be positive for markets.
But strong growth and a higher PCE would delay rate cuts and continue to put pressure on risky assets.
December 5: November nonfarm payrolls
The first post-shutdown clean labor report will be closely watched. Weaker job growth would be a sign of slower economic activity, which would support the stock and crypto markets. However, stronger job growth could keep the Fed patient, and market volatility would remain high.
December 10 and 11: November CPI and PPI reports
These reports will shape expectations for monetary policy in the first quarter of 2026.
If inflation falls, this would support the case for rate cuts and improve the liquidity outlook. But if inflation rises, the Fed could take a tighter stance and put pressure on risky assets in the short term.
December 19: Final Q3 GDP, November personal income and expenses, existing home sales
This data would provide a comprehensive picture of economic activity and the housing market. A weaker figure would indicate a broader economic slowdown. But stronger data would indicate economic resilience, and this would push any rate cuts further into the future.
What does this mean for Crypto?
The shutdown has largely confused markets as many key economic data were delayed.
But these reports will show how the Fed might act, how liquidity might improve, and whether investors have confidence in riskier assets like stocks and crypto. And if the data turns out in favor of risky assets, Bitcoin could stage a strong recovery, with the potential to reach new all-time highs in the first quarter of 2026.
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