Bitcoin and crypto have already done that proven that six figures are achievablewith the price rising above $100,000 and stretching to a peak of $126,198 in 2025. However, the subsequent pullback has since Bitcoin dragged down to about $78,267. But rather than signaling the end of the cycle, one expert argues that this downtrend is part of a broader structure that points to returns above $100,000.
Bitcoin’s $100,000 crypto cycle
Crypto expert @TheRealPlanC recently declared in a tweet that the rally that took Bitcoin above $100,000 did not take place under favorable economic conditions. Instead, he explained that it developed during a contractionary business cycle, a period when risk assets have historically been limited.
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Even within that restrictive environment, Bitcoin advanced into the six-figure range, indicating that underlying demand remained intact. As the expert notes, that strength was achieved through sustained sales. Long-term holders reduced their exposure as prices rose above $100,000, while traders took the lead Bitcoin’s four-year cycle left their positions by the end of 2025.
The downturn that followed was intense, but not driven solely by market structure. A combination of disruptions, including a stock market-related incident, institutional trading issues and increased global uncertainty, added to the pressure. Despite these pressures, Bitcoin’s decline remained at around 52% from peak to trough, a level that analysts say reflects a correction instead of a collapse.
This series, as @TheRealPlanC frames it, is being recast the high of $126,198. Rather than marking the end of the cycle, it’s starting to look like the first peak in a market that hasn’t yet fully developed.
When Bitcoin could rise above $100,000 again
With Bitcoin trading well below its previous high, the focus shifts to its timing return above $100,000. The Crypto expert links this expectation to a shift in the broader economic background. He points to recent data showing the business cycle moving above the neutral threshold for three consecutive months, a development that signals a transition toward expansion. This shift is important because it contrasts with the restrictive conditions that defined the earlier rally, opening the door to renewed upside potential.
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He also emphasizes the changing demand dynamics. Large-scale accumulation, led by corporate buyers like Michael Saylorreportedly absorbs between 10,000 and 30,000 Bitcoin every week. Analysts say this steady demand adds a layer of structural support as the market stabilizes.
Within this context, @TheRealPlanC interprets the drop from $126,198 to the current level of almost $78,267 as a mid-cycle reset rather than a prolonged downturn. Based on this framework, the analyst expects Bitcoin will recover $100,000 as conditions improve. He ultimately puts the next major peak at 2027, suggesting a move back above six figures could occur before that point as momentum gradually rebuilds. This perspective positions the current phase as part of an extended cycle, where recovering $100,000 represents a continuation rather than a completion.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com