Terra Classic (LUNC), the phoenix trying to rise from the ashes of the infamous TerraUSD crash, is once again capturing investors’ attention. Coincodex analysts predict a modest one Price increase of 10.7% by July 25, with renowned crypto analyst Javon Marks throwing in a much more powerful 1,500% surge. So, is LUNC primed for a bullish breakout, or is this just another mirage in the volatile crypto desert?
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A reborn token: LUNC benefits from market volatility
LUNC, once the backbone of the collapsed TerraUSD (USTC) stablecoin ecosystem, has defied expectations. While USTC lost its peg to the US dollar and faded into obscurity, LUNC has shown surprising resilience.
The last 24 hours saw an 82% price increase, showing that investors are still interested in the controversial token. This resilience coincides with a broader market trend where investors, wary of traditional assets, are turning to digital currencies that are seen as having strong recovery potential.
Analysts divided: measured optimism vs. Moon shot
Coincodex paints a picture of cautious optimism. Their prediction of a 10.7% increase suggests that LUNC may be a slow and steady climb. This is in line with the ‘Fear & Greed Index’, which is currently at a moderate ‘Fear’ level, indicating a cautious market.
We stay here $LUNC (Terra Classic)’s first target at $0.00058046, implying an upside potential of over +594% to reach this target in response to a long-standing breakout.
Trend-wise, based on the previous breakout and climb, this level could be exceeded with highs of $0.00139122 if… https://t.co/rAbwsHIkqY pic.twitter.com/XOYdulvUc8
— JAVON
MARKS (@JavonTM1) June 24, 2024
However, analyst Javon Marks throws a wrench into the mix with a much bolder prediction. Marks assumes a potential price increase of 1,500% and targets a price of $0.00139122. This bullish outlook is based on the idea that LUNC is approaching a breakout phase, fueled by a combination of recent price gains and historical data.
A balancing act between hype and reality
While Marks’ prediction is certainly enticing, historical trends in the cryptocurrency market are littered with failed “moon shot” predictions. The extreme volatility inherent in the crypto space makes long-term price predictions notoriously unreliable.
Moreover, the technical indicators are currently bearish, pointing to possible short-term price declines. Investors should also consider the ongoing legal battle surrounding the Terra ecosystem, which could cast a shadow over LUNC’s future.
Terra Classic rejects proposal to expand validator
Meanwhile, the Terra Luna Classic community has rejected Proposition 12116, which sought to increase the blockchain’s validator set from 100 to 130. This proposal emerged in the wake of a $4.5 billion settlement between Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The goal was to improve the decentralization of the network by including validators from Terra Luna v2, potentially signaling unification within the Terra ecosystem.
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However, the proposal did not receive sufficient support in community board votes. Concerns about the integration of Luna v2 validators, the potential impact on network security and performance, and the desire to maintain a separate identity for Terra Luna Classic were major factors in the decision.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView