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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin: Why Traders Should Be Cautious of BTC’s Price Rise
Bitcoin

Bitcoin: Why Traders Should Be Cautious of BTC’s Price Rise

2024-01-02No Comments3 Mins Read
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  • Bitcoin’s price crossed $45,000, raising concerns amid unbalanced profit and loss realization trends.
  • Traders profited as mining revenues fell.

Bitcoin [BTC] was recently on an upward trajectory when it crossed the $45,000 mark. While this may be a sign of optimism for some, there are growing concerns among holders as the various market dynamics unfold.

Wins and losses

On the profit-taking front, Bitcoin has realized gains of over $90 billion in 2023, yet, somewhat alarmingly, realized losses have reached $53 billion.

This stark contrast to 2022, when Bitcoin posted approximately $200 billion in realized losses, surpassing $106 billion in realized gains, raises concerns about the overall health of BTC’s market.

Source: Glassnode

The significant imbalance between gains and losses could potentially negatively impact Bitcoin, reflecting a scenario where more holders suffer losses compared to those making profits. This trend could contribute to cautious sentiment among investors.

Traders, on the other hand, are benefiting from BTC’s recent rise. Now that Bitcoin has broken the $45,000 barrier, one prominent trader has made a remarkable profit of over $1.47 million, as data from lookonchain shows.

This trader’s successful long position, initiated on May 14, involving nine strategic trades, boasts a 100% win rate, for a total profit of approximately $3.6 million.

While this presents profitable opportunities for some, it also highlights the potential for increased market volatility.

With the price of $BTC This smart trader broke the $45K barrier and currently has a profit of over $1.47 million!

This trader started long $BTC on May 14 and traded 9 times.

The win rate is 100% and the total profit is ~$3.6 million!https://t.co/MlPmFL54I8 pic.twitter.com/gR0kpNDbNy

— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) January 2, 2024

Miners see turbulence

Mining behavior plays a crucial role in the Bitcoin ecosystem.

See also  Can Hong Kong's spot ETFs deliver?

However, daily revenue from miners has fallen from $60 million to $47 million. This decline in mining revenues could inadvertently put selling pressure on BTC, as miners may feel forced to sell their holdings to compensate for lower profits.

The additional selling pressure could contribute to a further decline in Bitcoin’s price.

Speaking of the current price of BTC, it stands at $42,544.09, which reflects a modest decline of -1.13% over the past 24 hours. At the same time, trading volume also decreased.

Notable moves on Bitmex and Binance added another nuance to the situation. Bitmex open interest grew, accompanied by a rise in Binance funding rates.


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price forecast 2023-24


Essentially, Bitmex’s increased open interest means an increasing number of outstanding derivative contracts, while higher funding rates on Binance indicate higher costs for holding long positions.

These trends may indicate increased speculation and potential risks, warranting vigilance from market participants.

Source: Santiment



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