- The market dynamics of BTC shift dramatically and signaled potential transitions in its long -term process.
- Cryptoquant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator pointed to a transition from a bull to a bear market at the end of 2024.
Bitcoin’s [BTC] Market dynamics shift drastically and signal potential transitions in its long -term process.
Analyzes revealed a significant activity for long-term holders, market cycle shifts and capitulation events and offer valuable insights for crypto-traders who navigate through the evolving landscape of Bitcoin.
Market momentum reform
The 60-day CDD indicator of the Maartuunn emphasized pronounced peaks in long-term holders activities from January to July 2024 and November 2024 to 26 February.
The analysis showed sharp spikes, which destroyed more than 24 million coin days, the strongest signal since 2021.


Source: Cryptuquant
Moreover, these peaks gave increased expenditure by holders in the long term, which Bitcoin usually regards as a store of value. Such an activity often preceded market picks or increased volatility.
The consistent increase in the past year suggested that holders names in the long term or re -allocated assets, which may be applied to sales pressure.
This pattern reflected the peak from 2021, where raised CDD levels meant a turning point.
BTC -MarketCycli: a changing landscape
Cryptoquant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator pointed to a transition from a bull to a bear market at the end of 2024.
The indicator fell in a negative area and reached -0.0685 on October 24, 2024, while the 365 -day advancing average ran down at 0.25.


Source: Cryptuquant
This divergence signaled weakened momentum and possibly ended the bull cycle. Historically, negative measurements were preceded by bear markets, characterized by falling prices and increased sales.
The orange and blue zones of the graph reflected this shift, with bearish sentiment cooling investor optimism. This pattern resembled the Berenmarkt of 2018, where similar decreases led to price decreases.
The role of the Bitcoin -Mijnbouweconomy in price stability
Furthermore, the BTC price versus hash price card unveiled a critical relationship that influenced Bitcoin’s price process. Blue boxes emphasized periods in which the hash price dropped to low levels, in accordance with Bitcoin price bodies.


Source: Cryptuquant
In 2015, 2019 and 2023 these low points signaled market troughs, which suggests that the current low hash price could indicate at the beginning of 2025 that Bitcoin was approaching a price base.
Despite the recent price volatility, the Bull Run seemed to be ongoing; So, as the hash price drops, price claims have preceded historically.
This pattern suggested that miners were confronted with reduced profitability, but Bitcoin’s resilience indicated that the continuing question.
Capitulation in BTC win
Furthermore, the BTC profit and loss chart on 25 February 2025 has established a huge capitulation event, which marked the largest since August 2024.
Starting investors spread more than 79,000 BTC with losses, a total of $ 1.7 billion in realized losses.


Source: Cryptuquant
This peak echoed the capitulation of August 2024 after the interest rise of Japan, which marked a market base and went up to $ 100,000 for a recovery in December 2024.
The sharp fall in the graph in realized profit suggested that panic sales, but historical patterns indicated that this could indicate a price base.
Seep analysis can help to recognize this rare opportunity, because such events often precede price stabilization and growth in the medium term.