According to Santiment XRP sees the highest level of fear, uncertainty and doubt in retail in six months. That wave of negativity is interpreted by some analysts as a contrary signal: fear on the streets could come just before a turnaround.
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While traders grumble, on-chain data shows the public’s mood is turning toward worry, and Santiment points out that when retail panic increases, markets have a habit of moving in the opposite direction.
Retail fears are at a six-month high
Based on reports from the blockchain analytics company, the bullish-to-bearish ratio reached 3.21 on September 17 during a wave of euphoria, then fell to 0.74 on October 4 as frustration increased.
The ratio moved slightly to 0.86 on October 6. Over the past three days, bearish commentary outweighed bullish views for two days, which Santiment interprets as a possible bottom signal.
Traders should keep in mind that these mood swings are measured by the crowd’s talk, and when optimism has previously run too high, it has been flagged as a reliable top signal.
😮 XRP is experiencing the highest level of retail FUD since Trump’s tariffs were announced six months ago. There have been more bearish than bullish comments over the past two days, which is generally a promising buy signal. The markets are moving opposite to small traders’ expectations. pic.twitter.com/flO7jjlo9m
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) October 7, 2025
Technical levels to watch
Reports have revealed key price points that traders are keeping a close eye on. XRP is trading at $2.85 and has still not breached the $3 mark it briefly reached in recent weeks.
Support is around $2.60-$2.80, and analyst CryptoInsightUK says the $2.72 to $2.75 zone remains a key structural level.
Staying above that range shows that buyers have intervened repeatedly since the rally from $0.50, the analyst added. Breaks above $3.17 and $3.65 would be seen by some as confirmation of stronger upside momentum.
Analysts expect a possible outbreak
Based on technical notes from CryptoInsightUK, a move after the 4,236 Fibonacci extension could reach $6.90, while a bigger wave could potentially take prices to $8-$12.
Meanwhile, Professor Astrones also has one bullish structure on maps, calling the setup “pumpy” and referring to a smaller range that could go higher.
This one is pompous
First goal 5$ pic.twitter.com/LzDFTJVHy5
— ProfessorAstrones (@Astrones2) October 6, 2025
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Patterns such as a descending triangle can break in either direction, so traders look for a clear close above the mentioned targets.
In the broader market, Bitcoin has shot to a new high above $126,000 Ethereum has risen to within 4% of its record peak.
Still, XRP has struggled to break past $3. That contrast has left some investors scratching their heads. At the same time, XRP has not fallen below $2.60 since the breakout that took it to $3.66 in July, supporting the view that there is buying interest below current levels.
For now, data and sentiment point to a possible situation where fears subside before prices rise.
Featured image from Fingerlakes1.comchart from TradingView