Jakarta – January 7, 2026 – In light of geopolitical developments involving Venezuela and the United States, the Indonesian Village Entrepreneurs Association (IVEA/APUDSI) issued a statement calling for vigilance and restraint.
The message is delivered by Maulidan Isbar, Chairman of APUDSI and of the National Welfare Council (NWC), who emphasizes the need for rational, data-driven assessment, especially among economic actors in rural areas.
According to APUDSI, although these events take place far beyond Indonesia, they are part of a global dynamic whose consequences are being felt at the local level. In a context of growing economic interdependence, geopolitical tensions have a direct impact on energy prices, logistics costs and the stability of global supply chains.
A global economy that is already under pressure
The statement recalls that the global economy entered 2026 in a state of structural fragility. The energy markets are confronted with conflicting signals: on the one hand, the risk of oversupply; on the other, extreme sensitivity to geopolitical tensions. This combination fuels volatility that can quickly turn into tangible disruptions to local economies.
In this context, Venezuela remains a major source of uncertainty. Despite significant oil reserves, the country has struggled for years to fully realize its potential due to constraints on investment, governance and political stability. For Indonesia, this situation is far from insignificant: national logistics costs remain highly dependent on global energy prices, and any significant fluctuation could affect businesses, including at village level.
Information overload and the risk of hasty reactions
APUDSI also warns against the saturation of the public sphere with unverified information. Decontextualized images, fragmented stories and emotionally charged content can influence perceptions and lead to hasty decisions.
In his message, Maulidan Isbar notes that this information environment requires increased vigilance, especially among village entrepreneurs, cooperatives and village enterprises (BUMDes), who often operate on limited margins. The volatility of energy and logistics prices can have a direct impact on the production costs, distribution and cash flow of small economic structures.
Open scenarios for the village economy
The statement outlines several possible pathways. In the event of de-escalation, markets could return to a more realistic assessment of the situation, recognizing that the recovery of the Venezuelan energy sector will be gradual and dependent on lasting stability. In this scenario, the current instability would likely remain temporary.
Conversely, prolonged uncertainty could lead to a continued increase in logistics costs and increasing pressure on the purchasing power of local communities. However, APUDSI also points out that global stabilization, combined with an increase in energy supply, could create opportunities in the medium term to reduce distribution costs and increase economic efficiency in villages.
Data, calm and responsibility
In conclusion, APUDSI, through its President, calls on all economic actors and policymakers to put reliable data, calm and moral responsibility at the center of decision-making.
The organization recalls that in an interconnected world, even local responses can contribute to broader dynamics and ultimately impact local economies themselves.
APUDSI finally reaffirms its commitment to supporting village businesses through responsible economic communication and rigorous analysis, to ensure the sustainability of local economies, considered a key pillar of national resilience.
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