- Newer Bitcoin holders had an average loss of 3% at the time of writing.
- Any near-term rally would require the coin to break above $44,000.
Bitcoins [BTC] The recent struggle to get above $43,000 has swamped new investors.
This has also raised concerns about potential significant capital flight from the market, pseudonymous CryoptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk noted in a new report. report.
The analyst assessed the realized price of coin holders who purchased their BTCs less than a month ago and found that the coin’s current price performance left this cohort of investors with an average loss of 3%.
BTC’s realized price measures the average price at which current holders last purchased the coin. It is a useful tool to gauge the sentiment of different investor groups based on their investment periods.
Crazzyblockk’s findings regarding BTC investors who purchased coins for less than a month showed that shorter-term sentiment remained fragile and the price is still below their average purchase price.
This is because many of them acquired the coin when it was trading above $44,000.
On the other hand, those who have held their BTC for one to three months have been able to do so above the realized price for their cohort. The analyst noted:
“In the past week, amid the significant drop in Bitcoin price, the market has finally shown a positive sign around $39,000 (1 million-3 million realized price in age range), marking a recovery and price growth towards $42,000 reflects.”
Price level to look at
For the newer investors currently underwater, Crazzyblockk said the crucial level to watch is between $43,500 and $44,000.
This price range is particularly a point of equilibrium for these short-term investors.
How much are 1,10,100 BTCs worth today?
For any significant increase in the currency’s price, the analyst believes that a break above $44,000 must occur. This would indicate that long-term holders have confidence in the market, further driving up prices.
The analyst noted:
“A case can be made that a break above the $44,000 threshold is a robust indication of continued positive price momentum. Conversely, if this level, which serves as an equilibrium point for investors with an investment period of less than one month, shows resistance, the expectation arises that a notable correction will continue in the medium term.”