- Optimism could rise 340% as it approaches a breakout from a bullish ascending triangle.
- On-chain data showed growing adoption and reduced foreign exchange inflows, fueling bullish momentum.
Optimism [OP] has been trading within a sideways range for the past five months, continuously struggling to break above the $2 resistance.
Despite the consolidation phase, crypto analyst Ali says suggested that this move formed an ascending triangle pattern, a historically bullish setup.
This setup could pave the way for a rally towards the expected Fibonacci target.
Potential for strong gains?
Optimism has shown a similar price movement before. The first breakout of the ascending triangle saw the price rise from around $1.00 to a peak near $3.23, delivering a 220% gain.
A second breakout occurred near $1.06, pushing the price to $4.77, marking a 350% increase.
Now analysts are eyeing a potential third breakout point around $1.85. If optimism follows its historical trend, the price could rise to $7.20, which corresponds to the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
This would represent a 340% gain from the breakout level, reflecting past performance.
Current market dynamics and price movements
At the time of writing, Optimism was trading on $1.81This represents an increase of 11.09% in the last 24 hours and an increase of 31.03% in the last seven days.
The 24-hour trading volume at the time of writing was $1 billion, and the market capitalization was estimated at approximately $2.27 billion, with a circulating supply of 1.3 billion OP tokens.
Optimism’s current price was approaching the $1.85 resistance level. Breaking this threshold could confirm the ascending triangle break and lead to a sustained bullish rally.
Historical patterns suggested that optimism has formed similar structures in 2022 and 2023, both of which led to rapid price increases.
On-chain data reflects positive sentiment
On-chain statistics indicated a growing interest in optimism. A recent spike in new addresses saw a 39.43% increase over the past week, while active addresses rose 12.93%.
Additionally, zero-balance addresses increased by 83.30%, indicating previously inactive wallets are reconnecting to the network. These statistics indicate higher user participation and adoption.
The exchange net flows also painted a bullish picture, said Coin glass data.
On November 12, OP recorded a net outflow of $2.13 million, indicating investors are withdrawing tokens from exchanges, possibly for long-term holdings.
Historically, such outflows have coincided with price increases, indicating reduced selling pressure.
Continued trading activity is supporting growth
Transaction volume data further supported the bullish outlook. Optimism’s seven-day average transaction volume was 288.89 million OP, peaking at 346.1 million on November 10.
Read Optimism [OP] Price forecast 2024–2025
The lowest recorded volume was 238.67 million OP on November 5.
This steady trading activity reflected consistent liquidity and network utility, which could provide the foundation for future price growth.