- The Bitcoin network activity index drops and signales demand at the chain and a shift in market dynamics.
- Mempool transactions fell by 99%, which indicates delayed speculation and transactional involvement.
The Bitcoin[BTC] Network has witnessed a remarkable decline in activity, with important statistics that indicate a delay in transactions on chains.
The Bitcoin Network Activity Index has fallen 15% since the record high of November 2024, up to 3,760, the lowest level since February 2024. This decrease has also pushed the index under the progressive average of 365 days.
Bitcoin’s network activity index indicates weakness
Bitcoin’s Network activity index serves as an important measure for fundamental growth.
It follows essential statistics such as active addresses, transactioning and block size. Analysis of the graph showed that there has been a decline lately.
The current decline in the index suggests reduced participation, lower network congestion and a delay in transactional demand.
![Bitcoin network activity](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Bitcoin-CryptoQuant-Network-Activity-Index.png)
![Bitcoin network activity](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Bitcoin-CryptoQuant-Network-Activity-Index.png)
Source: Cryptuquant
Historically, such dips are associated with periods of market uncertainty or profitable cycles.
The fact that the index has fallen under its prolonged advancing average indicates a shift in network dynamics that are reminiscent of previous bearish phases.
Bitcoin’s wider adoption and use on the chain can see further delays if the trend continues.
Mempool -Data confirm a slow network demand
A deeper look at the mempool data from Bitcoin also supports the trend of falling activity.
The total number of transactions waiting to be confirmed has fallen from 287,000 in December 2024 to around 3,000, which marks an amazing decrease of 99%. The last time the mempool was so empty was in March 2022.
![Bitcoin mempool](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Bitcoin-Mempool-Transaction-Count-by-Fee-Cohort.png)
![Bitcoin mempool](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/Bitcoin-Mempool-Transaction-Count-by-Fee-Cohort.png)
Source: Cryptuquant
An almost empty mempool usually indicates reduced transaction question, which means that users do not compete for block space.
This is often seen during periods of reduced speculation or when activity in chains shifts to storage and off-chain solutions, such as the lightning network.
Conversely, during bull runs or raised adoption phases, the mempool is usually filled with current transactions, which indicates active network involvement.
If the mempool remains at historically low levels, this can reflect a cooling period for Bitcoin’s speculative and transactional demand.
Bitcoin -Price promotion in the midst of network delay
Despite the falling network activity, the price of Bitcoin has remained strong and acted at $ 98,185. This reflects an increase of 1.60% in the day. The most important indicators, however, suggest potential risks that are ahead.
The 50-day advancing average (MA) amounted to $ 98,743, while the 200-day MA is placed at $ 78,512, which strengthens a bullish structure in the longer term.
Bitcoin, however, floated near his resistance level in the short term and a failure to keep Momentum could invite further downward pressure.
![BTC -PRijstrend](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/BTCUSD_2025-02-06_08-14-50.png)
![BTC -PRijstrend](https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/BTCUSD_2025-02-06_08-14-50.png)
Source: TradingView
In addition, MACD measurements suggest weakening momentum. The MACD line is lower, currently at -860.32, with a bearish divergence.
If this continues, Bitcoin may have difficulty breaking above the psychological level of $ 100,000, leading to possible recovery from important support areas for $ 95,000 and $ 90,000.
What does this mean for Bitcoin?
The continuous decline of network activity and mempool congestion raises questions about the immediate growth process of Bitcoin. Historically, low involvement of the chains has led to lateral price action or corrections in the short term.
If Bitcoin would retain its long -term recording, a revival of active addresses, transaction volumes and mempool congration would be needed to confirm a broader acceptance and requirement.
In addition, macro -economic factors, such as institutional purchasing and ETF intake, will play a crucial role in dictating the next large move from BTC.
-Elet Bitcoin (BTC) Price forecast 2025-26
For now, Bitcoin traders and investors must pay attention to signs of renewed network demand.
If on-chain statistics remain modest, BTC may have difficulty reclaiming new highlights in the short term, making upcoming price movements crucial for confirming future market trends.