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Home»Bitcoin»Bitcoin: Why a Move to $30,000 Is More Plausible Than a Drop Below $29,000
Bitcoin

Bitcoin: Why a Move to $30,000 Is More Plausible Than a Drop Below $29,000

2023-10-20No Comments3 Mins Read
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  • For Bitcoin to beat the resistance around $30,000, volume needs to be higher around the previous buying pressure.
  • BTC accumulation is increasing and may be followed by a rise in volatility.

After crossing the $29,000 mark, optimism in the market is starting to rise again. Many believe that Bitcoins [BTC] The journey to $30,000 was a matter of when, not if. However, according to IntoTheBlock’s data, it might not be an easy ride to the mentioned price. This is due to potential resistance around $30,000.


Is your portfolio green? Check the BTC profit calculator


Bitcoin is in a critical position

Despite the fact that 73% of Bitcoin holders were now making profits, the blockchain insights platform noted that the resistance could arise due to the over 1.4 million addresses that accumulated in the region.

As Bitcoin moves closer to $30,000, we see that the main potential resistance is also around $30,000, where 1.49 million addresses have acquired Bitcoin.

At the same time, 73% of Bitcoin addresses are currently profitable. This level is a significant… pic.twitter.com/OymqUOQ4Hw

— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) October 20, 2023

One reason this region was also important was the historical demand BTC had at this level. For example, institutional investors such as Michael Saylor’s Microstrategy and Elon Musk’s Tesla bought large amounts of BTC around these prices.

The same applied to a number of retail participants. Therefore, it is likely that some market players will try to break even at these points. This, in turn, could reverse the upward movement of late.

There may be smooth sailing

To prevent such an event, a lot of accumulation must occur, and it may require more than 496 BTC previously stored in the region of $29,796 to $30,673. Data from Glasssnode shows that Bitcoin is accumulation trend score was 0.72 at the time of writing.

See also  Will Bitcoin Reach $67,000 As Major Liquidation Levels Loom?

As a value ranging from zero to one, the accumulation trend score is equal an indicator that reflects the relative size of entities actively accumulating coins on-chain in terms of their BTC holdings.

Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score

Source: Glassnode

When the value of the metric is closer to zero, it means the market is in distribution mode. The value mentioned above therefore means that more accumulation than distribution has taken place.

Therefore, there is a good chance that Bitcoin will reach $30,000 higher then a drop below $29,000.

As Bitcoin tries to rise higher than its price at the time of writing, it is likely that volatility will increase as well. This was the view of Korean on-chain analyst Mignolet. Mignolet, who made his opinion known on CryptoQuant, noted that 3-6 months Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB) were evidence of the increase in price swings.

Bitcoin spent output age groups

Source: CryptoQuant


How many Worth 1,10,100 BTC today?


The SOAB is a bundle of all spent outputs created within a certain age category. The metric is responsible for revealing the behavior of holders in a given market atmosphere. Regarding the recent move, the analyst explained that:

“The significant movements of approximately 120,000 during this period can be used as a volatility indicator. We may see significant volatility soon.”



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