- BTC is 14.4% lower in the past month.
- The long -term holders of Bitcoin refuse to sell, but holders in the short term feel different as the losses rise.
Since he touches $ 109k, Bitcoin [BTC] Has trouble maintaining an upward momentum. Volatility increased during this period because the BTC prices continue to fluctuate.
Despite this increased fluctuation, Bitcoin’s long -term holders refuse to close their positions, as per Cryptoquant.
Source: Cryptuquant
The long -term holders of Bitcoin remain steadfast and their coins do not move. Looking at the Inactive Supply Shift Index (ISSI), this suggests that there is no significant sales pressure of long -term holders.
So there is a structural demand that exceeds the supply. Smart money does not go away, but strategic positioning for the next Bitcoin trajectory.
Historically, when LTH holds their trade, it reflects a strong conviction that often precedes large price extensions. Conversely, when they start distributing, this usually corresponds to market picks.
That is why this, if the LTHS does not sell, suggests market confidence between this cohort. Although LTHs are optimistic, holders of short term are not.
As such, the STH realized price is set around $ 92k, so that this cohort has been loss since 6 March.
Source: Cryptuquant
Periods of uncertainty are usually difficult for weaker hands, which means they are often forced to capitulate. This suggests that there is other market behavior from LTHS and STHS.
What suggest BTC graphs
Based on the analysis of cryptoquant, there is no significant sales pressure of long -term holders.
According to the Amusry analysis, the activities on the sales side have fallen drastically. We can see this shift because the fund current ratio of Bitcoin has fallen from 0.12 to 0.05.
This drop suggests that fewer funds are flowing in exchanges, so there is less immediate sales pressure of holders. As such, LTHs can accumulate or hold on, which reduces the chance of a large sale.
Source: Cryptuquant
This reduced sales pressure is further demonstrated by the falling stock-flow ratio. Bitcoin’s SFR has fallen from 43k to 42k last week.
If the supply decreases, while demand remains constant or rises, prices will probably rise.
Source: Cryptuquant
That is why the current market conditions show that although there is sales activity, the demand side gradually absorbs it.
With LTHS who refuse to sell while STH capitulates, this suggests continuous consolidation.
If sellers and buyers continue to fight, we could see Bitcoin acting between $ 82k and $ 87k. However, an outbreak above this range could push the King Crypto to $ 92k, which is the realized price of STH.
