Despite the prevailing climate, Bitwise has predicted that Bitcoin would to break the traditional four-year cycle and aim for new highs in 2026.
They believe that factors such as the halving, institutional adoption and the growing demand for ETFs are changing the way Bitcoin behaves.
Source: Bitwise
To further reinforce the point, so is Bitcoin increasingly less volatile. In 2025 it was already less volatile than mammoths like Nvidia [NVIDIA]and starts to behave like an ‘adult’ asset.
If this trend continues, this current weakness could eventually look like a transition to something better.
A feeling of permanence
The long term is about position, and Bitcoin already is standing among giants. Today it sits comfortably in the top 10 global assets, alongside gold, Apple and Microsoft.
That alone is a big sign of how far Trump has come.
Source:
Ten years from now, the conversation will certainly be about where things are, and not about survival. Institutions now treat it as a core interest, giving it much-needed credibility.
The cycles may come and go, but Bitcoin’s place in the global balance sheet appears increasingly permanent.
Final thoughts
- Bitcoin’s -19% Q4 projection shows short-term weakness, but the only way forward is up.
- With the top 10 global asset status, Bitcoin is evolving into a mature asset.