- Bitcoin was approaching a death cross at the time of writing, indicating possible further declines.
- Historical trends showed that recovery was possible after death, as seen in 2020 and 2021.
Bitcoin [BTC] was trading at a price of $57,389 at the time of writing.
This not only marked a 3.9% increase in the price of BTC over the past day, but was also a notable recovery from BTC’s decline on August 5, bringing the price to a trading level of $49,781.
Regardless of the gradual recovery in BTC’s price, at the time of writing its value was still down approximately 22.2% from its all-time high (ATH) above $73,000 in March.
Death Cross Looms Over Bitcoin
In the midst of this, Bitcoin appeared to be teetering on the edge of a technical configuration known as a “death cross.”
This term in trading refers to a scenario in which the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average, traditionally a bearish indicator for traders.
Source: bar chart on X
According to facts from Barchart, this pattern emerged because Bitcoin’s short-term gains did not exceed its long-term gains.
Historically, Bitcoin has faced similar patterns; For example, a deathcross took place in March 2020, but a new all-time record followed later that year.
Another case was noted in June 2021, which also preceded a significant rally to record levels.
While this may be a bearish indicator, if the historical scenario plays out, BTC might as well be on the verge of a breakout to the upside.
Adding to this sentiment, a notable crypto enthusiast known on X (formerly Twitter) as ‘walltreetbets’ has marked a convincing pattern in the graph of Bitcoin.
This pattern closely matched that of 2020, when Bitcoin entered a bearish broadening pattern during the COVID-19 crashes, then recovers sharply from under $5,000 to over $20,000.
Source: wallstreetbets on X
According to Wallstreetbets analysis, the 2024 chart suggested a similar trend.
Bitcoin has once again formed a bearish broadening pattern during the recent economic downturn and appears to have bottomed out, paving the way for a potential upside similar to the recovery seen in 2020.
Fundamental vision
Assistance with technical analysis, which examines Bitcoin’s fundamentals, can also provide insight into its future direction.
Notably, Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, which measures the discrepancy between market price and actual value, was 1.79 at the time of writing.
Source: CryptoQuant
This ratio suggested that Bitcoin was undervalued at the time of writing, as a value below 2 often indicates that the asset was trading below its fair value, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
Furthermore, Bitcoin’s Open Interest, which represents the total number of outstanding derivative contracts such as futures and options that have yet to be settled, rose by 3.81% in the last 24 hours to $28.24 billion.
Source:: Mint glass
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Despite this increase, Open Interest volume saw a significant decline of 48% and stood at $80.12 billion at the time of writing.
This difference typically indicates that even though more contracts are open, the overall value of the trade has decreased, indicating a cooling of market momentum or a shift in trader sentiment.
