A crypto analyst has announced that the XRP price has just entered a neutral state and could be preparing for a big rally. He explains how this phase has historically occurred before strong rallies and outlines what the current market structure could mean for the future of XRP.
XRP Price Enters Neutral State Ahead of Bull Rally
Crypto expert and data analyst CW recently shared a new update about it Price action of XRPnoting that the cryptocurrency has broken out of its lows and moved to a neutral state. He said this shift marks the early stages of a larger bull rally, with a decisive move above the previous all-time high acting as the key signal for price acceleration.
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The chart he shared shows that XRP follows a repeated four-phase pattern across multiple market cycles, first from 2014 to 2018 and again from 2017 to date. In the 2014 cycle, Phase 1 began with a sharp break to TP1, creating a new ATH. From that peak, XRP entered phase 2, which is a Symmetrical triangle. During this phase, XRP moved sideways within a tightening range for several months.
Phase 3 followed next and marked a long consolidation period for XRP. Ultimately, the price of XRP broke the upper limit of the symmetrical triangle and entered phase 4. In this final phase, XRP rose to TP2 and reached a second ATH at the 6,618 Fibonacci extension level.
According to the chart, XRP has already completed phases 1-3 in the current cycle and has entered phase 4. After reaching its first peak around $3.5 (TP1) earlier in 2025, the cryptocurrency recently broke above the upper limit of a similar symmetrical triangle pattern, entering a ‘neutral state’.
Now that XRP has reached this state, CW notes that it has entered phase 4, the final phase of the four-phase historical pattern. The analyst has predicted a second new all-time high for XRP near $21.5, matching the Fibonacci expansion level of 6,618 from the 2014 cycle.
How momentum indicators reacted during each phase
At the bottom of CW’s price chart is a Stochastic oscillator and a moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram. The stochastic shows the overbought and oversold conditions for each cycle.
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In phase 2 of each cycle, stochastics often reach oversold levels, reflecting the long-term consolidation and price decline observed during that period. During phase 3, it remains around the mid-range, reflecting a neutral state. Finally, in Phase 4 of the 2014 cycle, it is trending upward overbought levelswhich coincided with strong price breakouts.
Meanwhile, the MACD histogram reflects momentum shifts in each phase. During phase 1, the histogram shows strong positive bars during the initial outbreak. Phase 2 saw negative bars as the price dropped, which was a signal bearish momentum. After this, Phase 3 showed small, fluctuating bars, indicating low momentum. Finally, in phase 4, the histogram expands rapidly after the breakout, driving its price to new ATHs in 2014.
Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com