A warning sign is flashing on the charts, with market analysts predicting that Bitcoin price could do just that will soon collapse again. According to the technical analysis, if BTC fails to continue its uptrend, it could repeat this trend bear market crash compared to previous cycles, potentially pushing the price down by double digits.
Bitcoin Price Repeats 2022 Bear Market Crash?
Crypto analyst Tyrex believes that Bitcoin may be approaching a crucial turning point if the current uptrend does not hold. In his latest BTC price outlook on compares the current market structure until the April 2022 cycle, when Bitcoin made an ATH and then crashed hard for weeks.
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Tyrex revealed that Bitcoin fell about 45% from its all-time high in 2022, before entering an extended consolidation phase that lasted almost four months. The accompanying graph shows that prices during that period respected clear horizontal boundaries, simultaneously creating a false sense of strength and stability underlying weakness kept building.
That consolidation eventually led to an upward fake-outwith Bitcoin price briefly breaching resistance before reversing sharply. Unfortunately, the rejection that year caused a continuation of the broader downtrend, resulting in another aggressive price crash that wiped away any remaining bullish confidence.
According to Tyrex, BTC’s current chart structure closely reflects the same historical setup from 2022. Bitcoin has once again retreated sharply after reaching a record high of over $126,000. Moreover, the cryptocurrency has spent about two months consolidating within a certain range, repeatedly stalling at resistance levels.
Tyrex warns about this Bitcoin barely holds above $95,000which corresponds to the resistance zone shown on the map. If the price does not recover and hang near this level, the rise could prove to be a fake, potentially leading to another sharp dump just like in 2022. The red shaded area on the chart shows how far BTC could crash if the uptrend breaks, with the analyst expecting an 11.04% drop to the $86,000-$84,000 range.
Bitcoin Set for March ATH and May Flash Crash
Another prediction from market expert CryptoXLarge contours where Bitcoin could go in the next four months. The analyst bases his outlook on historical market behavior, which suggests the current cycle may be repeating past peaks.
CryptoXLarge points to January 2026 as a phase of quiet accumulation with controlled price action and muted volatility. February is expected to bring a powerful rally as momentum builds rapidly and buyers push the BTC price higher. This rise could pave the way for Bitcoin reaching a new all-time record about $240,000 in March.
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After this expected peak, April will likely be a bull trap, with price appearing strong but failing to maintain upward momentum. The prediction ends with a warning for a flash crash in May 2026, when prices could retreat to new lows.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView